LULU trades at ~10x P/E with a $16B market cap, historically low multiple for a premium apparel brand. If growth stabilizes or the CEO transition resolves positively, valuation could re-rate to historical average ~20x P/E, offering substantial upside. Deep value play based on mean reversion of earnings multiples; author sees asymmetric risk/reward. Brand irrelevance (noted by top comment), weakening consumer spending, and insider turmoil could further depress earnings and multiple. Proxy battle may distract management.
LULU trades at ~10x P/E with a $16B market cap, historically low multiple for a premium apparel brand. If growth stabilizes or the CEO transition resolves positively, valuation could re-rate to historical average ~20x P/E, offering substantial upside. Deep value play based on mean reversion of earnings multiples; author sees asymmetric risk/reward. Brand irrelevance (noted by top comment), weakening consumer spending, and insider turmoil could further depress earnings and multiple. Proxy battle may distract management.