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u/Fine-Drummer2604

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since May 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
Return
+1.3%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
CAJPY long +1.3%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
CAJPY ×1
Recent Calls
CAJPY long 1 month ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 100%
90d
Average Return +1.3% Long Return +1.3% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +2.6%
30d +2.5%
90d
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Entry
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 11
$26.21
+1.3%
Canon’s NIL technology (FPA-1200NZ2C) can achieve 5nm-node-equivalent linewidths, with a roadmap to 2nm by 2026-2027, at a fraction of EUV’s cost and energy usage. The 2027 IAP launch solves a critical planarization step for high-volume manufacturing. Canon is a profitable diversified industrial (cameras, printers, medical imaging) trading at a low multiple, so the NIL catalyst is asymmetric upside. Memory fab qualification (e.g., Kioxia, SK Hynix) could trigger re-rating. Long CAJPY as a bet on Canon’s NIL becoming a viable second source in lithography, with a patent-protected moat and geopolitical tailwinds de-risking ASML dependency. Particle defects may prevent HVM adoption; qualification cycles take 3-5 years; NIL may remain niche in memory and never crack logic; Canon’s core businesses face secular declines.
Canon’s NIL technology (FPA-1200NZ2C) can achieve 5nm-node-equivalent linewidths, with a roadmap to 2nm by 2026-2027, at a fraction of EUV’s cost and energy usage. The 2027 IAP launch solves a critical planarization step for high-volume manufacturing. Canon is a profitable diversified industrial (cameras, printers, medical imaging) trading at a low multiple, so the NIL catalyst is asymmetric upside. Memory fab qualification (e.g., Kioxia, SK Hynix) could trigger re-rating. Long CAJPY as a bet on Canon’s NIL becoming a viable second source in lithography, with a patent-protected moat and geopolitical tailwinds de-risking ASML dependency. Particle defects may prevent HVM adoption; qualification cycles take 3-5 years; NIL may remain niche in memory and never crack logic; Canon’s core businesses face secular declines.
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u/Fine-Drummer2604 has 1 trade idea tracked on Buzzberg across 1 ticker since May 2026. Most covered: CAJPY.