u/Either-Hornet-6499

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+6.7%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
SMH Short +6.7%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
SMH ×1
Recent Calls
SMH Short 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 100%
90d
Average Return +6.7% Long Return - Short Return +6.7%
Average Return
7d +5.6%
30d +5.4%
90d
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Result
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Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Jun 02
$626.23
+6.7%
Author states “the semiconductor crash is not far away” and that a single person’s (Jensen) word can boost stocks to “sky‑high valuation”—implying irrational exuberance. If euphoria reverses, capital flight from semiconductors would disproportionately hit the sector, making a short on a broad semiconductor ETF a high‑probability trade. Short SMH to bet against a crowded, momentum‑driven sector that the author believes is detached from fundamentals. Continued AI capex spending (e.g., Berkshire’s involvement with Google), strong earnings from hyperscalers, or a lack of a clear catalyst could keep the rally alive.
Author states “the semiconductor crash is not far away” and that a single person’s (Jensen) word can boost stocks to “sky‑high valuation”—implying irrational exuberance. If euphoria reverses, capital flight from semiconductors would disproportionately hit the sector, making a short on a broad semiconductor ETF a high‑probability trade. Short SMH to bet against a crowded, momentum‑driven sector that the author believes is detached from fundamentals. Continued AI capex spending (e.g., Berkshire’s involvement with Google), strong earnings from hyperscalers, or a lack of a clear catalyst could keep the rally alive.
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u/Either-Hornet-6499 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: SMH.