u/deadfishlog

Reddit r/stocks
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
3
Win Rate
33.3%
return
-3.7%
Calls 3 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
XLE Long +7.4%
Worst Calls
SPY Short -17.0%
GLD Long -1.5%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×1
XLE ×1
GOLD ×1
Recent Calls
GLD Long 4 months ago
XLE Long 4 months ago
SPY Short 4 months ago
Win Rate 33% Long 2 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 33%
90d 0%
Average Return -3.7% Long Return +3.0% Short Return -17.0%
Average Return
7d -2.3%
30d -4.2%
90d -12.0%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 05
$429.41
-1.5%
The author perceives a significant, headline-ignored geopolitical threat (Iran war, strait closure). Gold is a classic safe-haven asset that appreciates during periods of unexpected geopolitical instability and market fear. A long position in gold is implied as a defensive play against the market downturn the author's view predicts. Crisis averted; strong dollar or rising rates pressure gold.
The author perceives a significant, headline-ignored geopolitical threat (Iran war, strait closure). Gold is a classic safe-haven asset that appreciates during periods of unexpected geopolitical instability and market fear. A long position in gold is implied as a defensive play against the market downturn the author's view predicts. Crisis averted; strong dollar or rising rates pressure gold.
Commodities
Short
Apr 05
$655.83
-17.0%
The author argues financial media is falsely reassuring by stating "Wall Street looks to move past Iran War" amid escalating geopolitical threats. If the author's skeptical view is correct, the market is complacent and due for a correction when the actual risk is priced in. A short position bets that the market's optimistic headline-driven sentiment will reverse as geopolitical realities worsen. The conflict de-escalates; markets genuinely ignore the event; media narrative proves correct.
The author argues financial media is falsely reassuring by stating "Wall Street looks to move past Iran War" amid escalating geopolitical threats. If the author's skeptical view is correct, the market is complacent and due for a correction when the actual risk is priced in. A short position bets that the market's optimistic headline-driven sentiment will reverse as geopolitical realities worsen. The conflict de-escalates; markets genuinely ignore the event; media narrative proves correct.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 05
$59.25
+7.4%
The post highlights a threat to a major shipping strait ("OPEN THE FAKKIN STRAIGHT"), implying a risk to oil supply routes. An escalation involving Iran and a key chokepoint (Strait of Hormuz) would disrupt oil supply, spiking prices and benefiting energy equities. Long energy is a hedge/play on the geopolitical risk the author believes the media is underestimating. Conflict is avoided; strait remains open; other sources offset supply fears.
The post highlights a threat to a major shipping strait ("OPEN THE FAKKIN STRAIGHT"), implying a risk to oil supply routes. An escalation involving Iran and a key chokepoint (Strait of Hormuz) would disrupt oil supply, spiking prices and benefiting energy equities. Long energy is a hedge/play on the geopolitical risk the author believes the media is underestimating. Conflict is avoided; strait remains open; other sources offset supply fears.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 3 of 3 calls · sorted by mentions

u/deadfishlog has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: SPY, XLE, GOLD.