Buzzberg Cup Live

u/Cow_cat11

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Mar 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
50.0%
return
-9.3%
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
SPY long +14.1%
Worst Calls
XLK short -32.7%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×1
XLK ×1
Recent Calls
XLK short 3 months ago
SPY long 3 months ago
Win Rate 50% Long 1 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 50%
90d 50%
Average Return -9.3% Long Return +14.1% Short Return -32.7%
Average Return
7d +1.6%
30d -2.4%
90d -13.4%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
SPY SPDR S&P... SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Long
Mar 21
$653.28
+14.1%
SPY has pulled back from its 697 high to around 649. Historical patterns from the last three dips suggest a ~9% pullback (around the 630 level) is a strong support zone and buying opportunity. Scale into SPY on dips, buying heavily if it reaches the 630 area. Global recession risks, job stagnation, or prolonged geopolitical conflicts could drive the market down further to a 10-15% drop.
SPY has pulled back from its 697 high to around 649. Historical patterns from the last three dips suggest a ~9% pullback (around the 630 level) is a strong support zone and buying opportunity. Scale into SPY on dips, buying heavily if it reaches the 630 area. Global recession risks, job stagnation, or prolonged geopolitical conflicts could drive the market down further to a 10-15% drop.
Macro
REDDIT
XLK Technolo... Technology Select S...
Short
Mar 21
$136.43
-32.7%
AI and data center stocks have run up 3–10x across big and small caps. These valuations are highly stretched ("a lot of air to give back") and are likely to follow the pattern of previous hype cycles like the 2024 SaaS run-up. Expect a slow deflation and downside in AI/tech high-flyers over the next 6-8 months. AI hype continues longer than expected or sector rotation keeps the broader tech index elevated.
AI and data center stocks have run up 3–10x across big and small caps. These valuations are highly stretched ("a lot of air to give back") and are likely to follow the pattern of previous hype cycles like the 2024 SaaS run-up. Expect a slow deflation and downside in AI/tech high-flyers over the next 6-8 months. AI hype continues longer than expected or sector rotation keeps the broader tech index elevated.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
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u/Cow_cat11 has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: SPY, XLK.