u/ChungWuEggwua

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day Posted today
Calls
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30d 0
90d 1
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SPY short -6.6%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×2
Recent Calls
SPY short 1 month ago
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d —
Average Return -6.6% Long Return - Short Return -6.6%
Average Return
7d -0.9%
30d -4.6%
90d —
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Thesis
Theme
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SPY SPDR S&P... SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Short
Apr 20
$708.72
-6.6%
Technical analysis shows bearish RSI divergence on weekly charts, exhaustion gaps on daily charts, and a rally on declining volume. The "Fear and Greed Index" is at an extreme (69). This suggests a lack of conviction from institutional money and a high probability of a reversion to a long-term trend line. The author is holding SPY puts, betting on a drop to specific price targets (550-575) within the year. The trend line support could hold without a major crash; political assumptions could be wrong; market could defy technicals and rally to ~610.
Technical analysis shows bearish RSI divergence on weekly charts, exhaustion gaps on daily charts, and a rally on declining volume. The "Fear and Greed Index" is at an extreme (69). This suggests a lack of conviction from institutional money and a high probability of a reversion to a long-term trend line. The author is holding SPY puts, betting on a drop to specific price targets (550-575) within the year. The trend line support could hold without a major crash; political assumptions could be wrong; market could defy technicals and rally to ~610.
Macro
REDDIT
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