Author argues the elite are fleeing debased dollars into "tangible goods" including gold and hard assets. A legitimacy crisis for the dollar supports long-term gold appreciation as a store of value and inflation hedge. Gold calls (or GLD shares) benefit from the ongoing debasement and flight to hard assets. Central bank rate hikes or a sudden dollar strength rally could cap gold; also, gold lacks yield. No other actionable trade ideas with sufficient confidence.
Author argues the elite are fleeing debased dollars into "tangible goods" including gold and hard assets. A legitimacy crisis for the dollar supports long-term gold appreciation as a store of value and inflation hedge. Gold calls (or GLD shares) benefit from the ongoing debasement and flight to hard assets. Central bank rate hikes or a sudden dollar strength rally could cap gold; also, gold lacks yield. No other actionable trade ideas with sufficient confidence.
Author states "the market will only go up" because government cannot allow a crash without bankrupting the U.S. and losing boomer votes. This creates a persistent upward bias for broad equity indices, as monetary and fiscal policy will inject liquidity and suppress volatility. Buying calls on SPY aligns with the thesis that asset propping is indefinite and that the Fed will always step in. Unexpected fiscal collapse, hyperinflation, or a shift in political will could invalidate the propping mechanism.
Author states "the market will only go up" because government cannot allow a crash without bankrupting the U.S. and losing boomer votes. This creates a persistent upward bias for broad equity indices, as monetary and fiscal policy will inject liquidity and suppress volatility. Buying calls on SPY aligns with the thesis that asset propping is indefinite and that the Fed will always step in. Unexpected fiscal collapse, hyperinflation, or a shift in political will could invalidate the propping mechanism.