Strikes have physically destroyed infrastructure accounting for 11 million barrels per day and 20% of global gas supply, which takes 3-5 years to rebuild. The market is currently trading on diplomatic news (a 5-day strike pause) rather than the physical reality of a massive, multi-year supply deficit with zero spare capacity. Go long on oil (USO) or broad energy (XLE) before institutions fully reprice the long-term structural supply hole. Severe global demand destruction (recession) offsetting the supply loss, or SPR releases artificially suppressing prices longer than expected.
Strikes have physically destroyed infrastructure accounting for 11 million barrels per day and 20% of global gas supply, which takes 3-5 years to rebuild. The market is currently trading on diplomatic news (a 5-day strike pause) rather than the physical reality of a massive, multi-year supply deficit with zero spare capacity. Go long on oil (USO) or broad energy (XLE) before institutions fully reprice the long-term structural supply hole. Severe global demand destruction (recession) offsetting the supply loss, or SPR releases artificially suppressing prices longer than expected.