The post and top comments describe a circular financing scheme where Nvidia props up OpenAI to buy its own chips, creating artificial demand. This pattern raises red flags for a bubble top; if real demand falters, Nvidia’s revenue could collapse as the financing loop breaks. Short Nvidia as a bet that the AI capex cycle is nearing a peak, supported by community recognition of desperation in financing. Deal may never materialize; if it does, short-term revenue could spike. Broader AI adoption could still justify spending.
The post and top comments describe a circular financing scheme where Nvidia props up OpenAI to buy its own chips, creating artificial demand. This pattern raises red flags for a bubble top; if real demand falters, Nvidia’s revenue could collapse as the financing loop breaks. Short Nvidia as a bet that the AI capex cycle is nearing a peak, supported by community recognition of desperation in financing. Deal may never materialize; if it does, short-term revenue could spike. Broader AI adoption could still justify spending.