u/breakyourteethnow

The author lists Lithium Americas among companies he expects to see massive bullish movement from China's March 25 rare earth/critical mineral export-control briefing, referencing a prior October licensing change that doubled these names in weeks. He frames LAC as a long-term national-security hedge building DOE-backed infrastructure. Risk is that the policy catalyst does not materialize as in October.

The author argues BlackBerry's QNX software is a necessary safety guardrail for real-world AI in defense, robotics and automotive, positioning it as an edge-AI chokepoint. He cites nearly $1 billion in backlog orders against only a $3.7 billion market cap, 84% profit margins, and a partnership with Nvidia's Thor unit as evidence of underappreciated value. He notes the stock showed relative strength versus a down market and believes it could grow. The main stated risk is implicit in his own admission that his interest is partly nostalgic, though he frames margins, the Nvidia partnership and backlog as the core drivers.

Author notes RKLB held strong while SPY dropped, showing relative strength versus the market, and opened an OTM calendar at $77 strike. The trade buys 30dte longs for earnings week and sells weeklies leading into earnings, opened about a month before earnings, betting IV stays elevated in the longs and the position is resilient against market sell-offs. Main risk is the underlying breaking down despite relative strength.

The author expects China's CCCMC rare earth and critical mineral export-control briefing on March 25 to be a bullish catalyst for rare earth names, citing a prior October licensing change that doubled many of these stocks within weeks. Longer term he sees rare earths, lithium and copper becoming national-security assets, with MP building DOE-backed infrastructure as a hedge. Main risk implied is reliance on Chinese policy action actually materializing.