Two-week correction cleared retail positioning excesses, systematic headwinds eased, valuations improved. Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is the direct beneficiary as the sector’s technical reset is called complete. Buy SMH on the thesis that the pullback is over and fundamentals will sustain a rally. Next two weeks’ earnings/macro data disappoint; renewed selling pressure if fundamentals fail.
Two-week correction cleared retail positioning excesses, systematic headwinds eased, valuations improved. Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is the direct beneficiary as the sector’s technical reset is called complete. Buy SMH on the thesis that the pullback is over and fundamentals will sustain a rally. Next two weeks’ earnings/macro data disappoint; renewed selling pressure if fundamentals fail.
Post mentions market leadership broadening and financing conditions improving, implying broad market strength. SPY captures the overall rally as positioning excesses clear and sentiment improves. Long SPY as a macro bet on the author’s view that the market reset is done. Failure of fundamentals to sustain rally; renewed macro headwinds.
Post mentions market leadership broadening and financing conditions improving, implying broad market strength. SPY captures the overall rally as positioning excesses clear and sentiment improves. Long SPY as a macro bet on the author’s view that the market reset is done. Failure of fundamentals to sustain rally; renewed macro headwinds.