u/bailewen

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+78.3%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 100%
Average Return +78.3% Long Return +78.3% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.1%
30d -2.2%
90d +7.0%
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 01
$19.44
+78.3%
HPQ profitable despite memory squeeze; AI pop catalyst
The author argues HPQ is being unfairly hammered by AI-driven memory price inflation even though it still generates strong EPS and ROC. The mechanism is that AI demand is pushing memory prices up, compressing HPQ's margins and stock price, but the underlying business remains highly profitable. The catalyst is an AI bubble pop, which would relieve memory price pressure and let HPQ 'pop' back up. The author states they are doubling down on HPQ; the main risk implied is continued AI-driven memory cost pressure.
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u/bailewen has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: HPQ.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology