Calls
1
u/AInvestor_2025
Reddit r/wallstreetbets
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+41.1%
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 14
$28.64
+41.1%
The author claims SMCI management is deliberately sandbagging Q2 2026 guidance: using the word "conservative" repeatedly, guiding a 300bps margin drop to ~6.5%, deferring $1.5B of revenue into Q2, and raising the full-year guide to $36B while keeping Q2 at $10.5B, creating a low bar that makes a "Beat" headline likely. Cited supporting indicators are $5.7B of work-in-progress inventory (Blackwell/H200 ready to ship), $2.5B of accounts receivable from late-Q1 shipments, and a $13B GB300 backlog that exceeds the quarterly revenue guide. Catalyst is the Feb 24 report; the author states the thesis only holds if management is rational rather than lying.
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u/AInvestor_2025 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: SMCI.
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