u/AhmOB

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Aug 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-14.1%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 1
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
TOYO Long -14.1%
Most Mentioned
TOYO ×1
Recent Calls
TOYO Long 1 week ago
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d
90d
Average Return -14.1% Long Return -14.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -12.7%
30d
90d
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Side
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 23
$4.82
-14.1%
H1 revenue $261M, net income $45.8M, operating cash flow $61.4M, but market cap is only ~$200M; trailing valuation is extremely low. The market is pricing in severe earnings deterioration from Ethiopia/tariff issues, but at $4.80 the downside may already be discounted; U.S. cell/module buildout and 45X credits create re-rating optionality. Risk/reward favors a starter long around $4.80 with a key technical line in the sand at $4.26; regulatory clarity and successful Texas expansion are the core upside drivers. Adverse CBP/Commerce decision on Ethiopian supply chain, Section 232 tariff impact, further equity dilution for the $357M Texas plant, margin compression, and Q2 sequential weakness continuing.
H1 revenue $261M, net income $45.8M, operating cash flow $61.4M, but market cap is only ~$200M; trailing valuation is extremely low. The market is pricing in severe earnings deterioration from Ethiopia/tariff issues, but at $4.80 the downside may already be discounted; U.S. cell/module buildout and 45X credits create re-rating optionality. Risk/reward favors a starter long around $4.80 with a key technical line in the sand at $4.26; regulatory clarity and successful Texas expansion are the core upside drivers. Adverse CBP/Commerce decision on Ethiopian supply chain, Section 232 tariff impact, further equity dilution for the $357M Texas plant, margin compression, and Q2 sequential weakness continuing.
Construction & Infrastructure
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u/AhmOB has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since August 2026. Most covered: TOYO.