TheStalwart 5.0 46 ideas

After 1 day
59%winrate
+1.1% avg
20W / 14L · 34/36 ideas
After 1 week
50%winrate
+0.9% avg
17W / 17L · 34/36 ideas
After 1 month
61%winrate
+5.2% avg
11W / 7L · 18/36 ideas
11 winning  /  7 losing  ·  18 positions (30d)
Net: +5.2%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
BIRD SHORT $14.08 Apr 16
USO SHORT $123.09 Apr 15
SPY LONG $694.92 Apr 15
QQQ LONG $620.67 Apr 14
SPY LONG $688.03 Apr 14
SPY LONG $682.31 Apr 13
SPY LONG $675.78 Apr 13
SPY SHORT $680.65 Apr 12
NIKKEI SHORT Mar 30
META LONG $520.07 Mar 28
GOOGL LONG $272.62 Mar 28
USO SHORT $120.10 Mar 20
FXI LONG $35.43 Mar 20
USO LONG $120.22 Mar 20
TLT SHORT $86.78 Mar 20
KGRN LONG $28.81 Mar 20
FXI SHORT $35.78 Mar 20
KGRN LONG $28.81 Mar 20
TLT SHORT $87.68 Mar 19
QQQ LONG $590.26 Mar 19
QQQ SHORT $603.75 Mar 17
By sector
ETF
33 ideas +3.7%
Stock
8 ideas +2.8%
Commodity
2 ideas +35.9%
index
2 ideas
Crypto
1 ideas +1.9%
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY 11 ideas
50% W +1.0%
USO 5 ideas
100% W +37.0%
FXI 3 ideas
QQQ 3 ideas
TLT 3 ideas
100% W +2.0%
Best and worst calls
Shares of Bird Global plummet 23% following a significant negative market reaction to undisclosed news or financial results.
BIRD Apr 16, 13:46
April 16, 2026 at 13:46
Oil prices continue to decline, signaling persistent concerns about global demand growth and oversupply in the energy market.
USO Apr 15, 14:39
April 15, 2026 at 14:39
Stocks are broadly higher as positive market sentiment drives a rally across major indices.
SPY Apr 15, 13:38
April 15, 2026 at 13:38
Stock index futures are rising pre-market, indicating a positive opening and potential continuation of the recent upward trend.
QQQ SPY Apr 14, 12:54
April 14, 2026 at 12:54
The S&P 500 has recovered all its losses for the year, signaling a broad market rebound and renewed investor confidence.
SPY Apr 13, 17:27
April 13, 2026 at 17:27
U.S. stock index futures recover significantly from their overnight lows, indicating a potential positive reversal for the broader market at the open.
SPY Apr 13, 09:42
April 13, 2026 at 09:42
S&P 500 futures are down sharply, indicating a significant risk-off sentiment and potential market sell-off at the open.
SPY Apr 12, 22:53
April 12, 2026 at 22:53
The Nikkei index is experiencing a significant decline, reflecting broader market weakness and potential negative sentiment for Japanese equities.
NIKKEI Mar 30, 00:30
March 30, 2026 at 00:30
The dominance of digital advertising platforms allows them to command superior profit margins compared to other sectors in the current market environment.
GOOGL META Mar 28, 02:45
March 28, 2026 at 02:45
A major geopolitical event (war in Iran) is accelerating a structural, long-term shift away from oil and towards Chinese technology, creating a tailwind for Chinese tech assets.
FXI HIGH Mar 20, 16:18
"In today's newsletter, I wrote about how the long term trend of countries reducing their oil imports by substituting them with Chinese tech is already accelerating since the start of the war"
𝕏 @thestalwart ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 16:18
The war in Iran is accelerating a structural shift where countries substitute oil with Chinese technology, creating a long-term headwind for oil demand.
USO HIGH Mar 20, 16:18
"In today's newsletter, I wrote about how the long term trend of countries reducing their oil imports by substituting them with Chinese tech is already accelerating since the start of the war"
𝕏 @thestalwart ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 16:18
The usable capacity of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is likely overstated due to risks of structural damage at low inventory levels, reducing a key supply buffer and providing a structural tailwind for oil prices.
USO MED Mar 20, 15:38
"Functionally, the US' strategic petroleum reserve may have less capacity than the stated figures."
𝕏 @thestalwart ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 15:38
The market is underpricing the probability of a Fed rate hike in 2026, which is bearish for long-duration bonds.
TLT MED Mar 20, 13:55
"Still very small, but the odds of a rate HIKE in 2026 continues to go up"
𝕏 @thestalwart ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 13:55
TheStalwart | 46 trade ideas tracked | SPY, USO, FXI, QQQ, TLT | Twitter | Buzzberg