Gold mining equities have been heavily sold off, with NAV multiples compressing from 6-8x to around 2x, despite the gold price remaining near $4,000. Miners are generating strong free cash flow at current gold prices, making the sector undervalued relative to both its history and other industries. As gold sentiment improves, miners are poised to recover. GDXJ is explicitly mentioned as down 20-30%.
Gold price has been consolidating around $4,000 after an extremely steep rise to $5,000. Speculative money has been washed out. A consolidation phase is normal and typically precedes the next leg up. The speaker expects gold to hold around $4,000 as a base, with a ramp-up starting in the back half of the year or into next year. This view is supported by historical chart patterns and the fact that $4,000 still provides strong margins for producers.
West Red Lake Gold is in production ramp-up with strong Q2 results showing 51% higher production and 73% more mined ounces over Q1. The company is on track to deliver 35-45k oz this year and targets 60k oz next year without new capex. A prefeasibility study in September will outline a path to 100-120k oz/year. The stock is deeply discounted after Q1 results and the general gold sentiment sell-off, and the CEO expects the share price to return to the $1.30-1.50 range quickly and potentially double over the next 16 months.