#612 Alpha Score 54.9

seedy19tron

Biotech trader, L/S
@seedy19tron · tracked since Mar 2026
612
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Alpha Score 54.9
Calls
42
Win Rate
57.5%
return
+1.7%
Calls 42 1231 Posts tracked · 6.7/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 8
90d 26
Best Calls
ANL Long +89.8%
RVMD Long +32.2%
KYMR Long +29.4%
Worst Calls
TENX Long -89.7%
CAPR Long -70.8%
CAPR Short -42.6%
Most Mentioned
ABVX ×79
NKTR ×44
VERA ×23
Recent Calls
RARE Short 1 week ago
ABCL Short 2 weeks ago
BHVN Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 58% Long 33 Short 9
Win Rate
7d 56%
30d 55%
90d 55%
Average Return +1.7% Long Return +2.3% Short Return -0.4%
Average Return
7d +2.2%
30d +6.0%
90d +5.6%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 15
$116.98
-1.1%
The author provides a routine portfolio update detailing additions, reductions, and closures across various biotech stocks.
The author provides a routine portfolio update detailing additions, reductions, and closures across various biotech stocks.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Mar 31
$72.11
-2.2%
The user expresses a bullish outlook on Nektar Therapeutics.
The user expresses a bullish outlook on Nektar Therapeutics.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jul 06
$41.20
-15.4%
Buy VERA ahead of atacicept's AA PDUFA (Monday/Tuesday); KDIGO 2025 guideline shift materially expands the addressable IgAN population beyond Street models, sell-side consensus already prices ~$2B US peak against a ~$2.4B EV, meaning ex-US, combo use, pipeline optionality, and M&A (AMGN/PFE/LLY) are effectively free; PT $90 (~120% upside from $41).
Buy VERA ahead of atacicept's AA PDUFA (Monday/Tuesday); KDIGO 2025 guideline shift materially expands the addressable IgAN population beyond Street models, sell-side consensus already prices ~$2B US peak against a ~$2.4B EV, meaning ex-US, combo use, pipeline optionality, and M&A (AMGN/PFE/LLY) are effectively free; PT $90 (~120% upside from $41).
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Apr 16
$9.37
+6.2%
Buy BioCryst Pharmaceuticals as underlying prescription data remains solid and supports the fundamental picture despite ongoing market rumors.
Buy BioCryst Pharmaceuticals as underlying prescription data remains solid and supports the fundamental picture despite ongoing market rumors.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Mar 31
$121.94
+28.5%
The user anticipates outperformance for the XBI biotech ETF following double M&A activity.
The user anticipates outperformance for the XBI biotech ETF following double M&A activity.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 07
$35.09
+9.3%
Initiating a long position in COGT, with a deeper fundamental dive expected to follow.
Initiating a long position in COGT, with a deeper fundamental dive expected to follow.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jul 09
$17.73
-89.7%
Buy TENX ahead of August 2026 LEVEL trial topline; author argues oral levosimendan's K-ATP venodilation uniquely decongests PH-HFpEF without inotropy — the mechanism prior failures lacked — and that HELP's hemodynamic miss was a drug-trough timing artifact, not a true signal, creating a significant consensus mispricing in a zero-approved-therapy market.
Buy TENX ahead of August 2026 LEVEL trial topline; author argues oral levosimendan's K-ATP venodilation uniquely decongests PH-HFpEF without inotropy — the mechanism prior failures lacked — and that HELP's hemodynamic miss was a drug-trough timing artifact, not a true signal, creating a significant consensus mispricing in a zero-approved-therapy market.
Pharma & Biotech
Short
Aug 26
$150.40
+9.9%
Short MRNA on valuation and dilution.
Short MRNA because even best-case peak sales and future earnings don't support the valuation, and the company needs to raise equity, which will dilute holders; non-fundamental biotech squeezes tend to reverse. Average short entry $156, cover target double digits.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jun 21
$36.14
+15.1%
Buy the "hot zone" biotech names (3–9 months post positive data) as the author's historical M&A timing framework shows this is the window where acquirers with pre-committed capital execute; sector M&A wave across radiopharmaceuticals, MASH, IBD, and obesity validates the pattern is active.
Buy the "hot zone" biotech names (3–9 months post positive data) as the author's historical M&A timing framework shows this is the window where acquirers with pre-committed capital execute; sector M&A wave across radiopharmaceuticals, MASH, IBD, and obesity validates the pattern is active.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jun 12
$153.87
+32.2%
Buy RVMD as a prime M&A target: TNGX data validates pan-RAS(ON) + PRMT5 two-hit combination, and AMGN, AZN, BMY (PRMT5 holders via MRTX/BMY deal) need to acquire the RAS half; MRK and ABBV already ran diligence on RVMD.
Buy RVMD as a prime M&A target: TNGX data validates pan-RAS(ON) + PRMT5 two-hit combination, and AMGN, AZN, BMY (PRMT5 holders via MRTX/BMY deal) need to acquire the RAS half; MRK and ABBV already ran diligence on RVMD.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jun 12
$14.05
+29.2%
Buy ERAS as the lower-cost RAS-side M&A alternative for large-cap acquirers (MRK, AZN, BMY) who miss out on RVMD; positioned as the "value option" in the same oncology combination-therapy consolidation wave.
Buy ERAS as the lower-cost RAS-side M&A alternative for large-cap acquirers (MRK, AZN, BMY) who miss out on RVMD; positioned as the "value option" in the same oncology combination-therapy consolidation wave.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
May 05
$37.52
+16.6%
Re-enter long $EWTX as part of a cardiovascular-biotech pair, citing overdue exposure and a current buying opportunity.
Re-enter long $EWTX as part of a cardiovascular-biotech pair, citing overdue exposure and a current buying opportunity.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Mar 15
$33.39
-
The author provides a routine portfolio update detailing additions, reductions, and closures across various biotech stocks.
The author provides a routine portfolio update detailing additions, reductions, and closures across various biotech stocks.
Pharma & Biotech
Short
Aug 12
$88.05
+22.9%
LQDA flagged near top, short candidate
Short LQDA as part of an explicitly flagged short-selling list; author signals the stock is near a peak, implying limited upside and downside risk from current levels.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jul 10
$4.34
+5.8%
Long IVA on Phase 2 data readout expected to translate positively, in a space with established large biopharma M&A interest.
Long IVA on Phase 2 data readout expected to translate positively, in a space with established large biopharma M&A interest.
Pharma & Biotech
Showing 15 of 42 calls · sorted by mentions

seedy19tron has 42 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 40 tickers since March 2026. Win rate 58% across 40 evaluated calls, average return +1.7%. Ranked #612 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ABVX, NKTR, VERA.