The Iran war has disrupted 80 million tons of LNG supply, and even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, it will take 3-6 months to normalize flows and 3-5 years to repair permanent damage. Oversupply that was expected in 2026-2027 is now pushed to 2028-2029, and pent-up demand may mean no oversupply at all. LNG prices have remained high since 2022 and will stay at levels that were previously considered high as the new normal.