SantiagoAuFund 5.0 67 ideas

After 1 day
54%winrate
+0.3% avg
28W / 24L · 52/63 ideas
After 1 week
55%winrate
+0.5% avg
26W / 21L · 47/63 ideas
After 1 month
76%winrate
+7.3% avg
31W / 10L · 41/63 ideas
31 winning  /  10 losing  ·  41 positions (30d)
Net: +7.3%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
TLT SHORT $86.81 Apr 15
TLT SHORT $86.29 Apr 07
GLD SHORT $428.14 Apr 07
TLT SHORT $86.15 Apr 07
UUP SHORT $27.86 Apr 05
TLT SHORT $86.79 Apr 05
GLD SHORT $429.41 Apr 05
USO LONG $134.34 Apr 02
FXI SHORT $36.22 Mar 20
XLE LONG $58.73 Mar 19
By sector
ETF
37 ideas +5.7%
currency
14 ideas +1.6%
Commodity
10 ideas +14.0%
index
3 ideas +0.5%
Stock
3 ideas +20.3%
Top tickers (by frequency)
TLT 8 ideas
50% W +-0.0%
USD 8 ideas
75% W +1.6%
GOLD 6 ideas
100% W +10.7%
FXI 6 ideas
80% W +3.2%
SPY 5 ideas
80% W +2.4%
Best and worst calls
The tweet suggests a hostile stance towards US Treasury bonds, implying a negative outlook for government debt and potential rising yields.
TLT Apr 15, 20:01
April 15, 2026 at 20:01
The fund manager argues central banks will be forced to sell gold and bonds to cover deficits, leading to significant price declines in both assets.
GLD TLT Apr 07, 19:16
April 07, 2026 at 19:16
The author is explicitly bearish on US Treasuries, citing the "milkshake" theory which posits a dollar shortage leading to higher US yields.
TLT HIGH Apr 07, 17:20
"the milkshake is bearish USTs as I have explained to you 1,000x."
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 17:20
Implicitly short the US Dollar (via USD index ETF UUP) as the author argues the prevalent fiscal rhetoric leads directly to currency debasement through money printing.
UUP HIGH Apr 05, 19:50
"When an argument is made that"
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 05, 2026 at 19:50
The tweet argues that central banks are losing control, leading to a loss of confidence in fiat currencies and government bonds, which will ultimately drive investors toward hard assets like gold.
GLD TLT Apr 05, 14:13
April 05, 2026 at 14:13
The author implies a near-term disruption to oil supply flows through the Strait of Hormuz as a prior shipping wave concludes, suggesting bullish pressure on oil prices.
USO HIGH Apr 02, 15:22
"The last ships arrive this weekend. Then a lot of hard forgotten truths get relearned."
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 15:22
The author is sarcastically implying that very high oil prices are a significant negative for China's economy, suggesting a bearish outlook.
FXI MED Mar 20, 03:35
"I’m looking forward to the all the reports by the usual suspects this weekend explaining how this is a positive development for China."
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 03:35
Go long energy producers in geopolitically stable regions (e.g., North America) to avoid supply chain disruptions from conflict zones.
XLE MED Mar 19, 11:46
"Buy your needed energy inputs from a region that does not need to traverse a religious war zone"
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 19, 2026 at 11:46
The author argues that the US is demonstrating geopolitical dominance with impunity, which is attracting significant capital inflows and should continue to support a strong US Dollar.
UUP HIGH Mar 17, 03:38
"All this while more foreign capital has flowed into the US than anywhere else."
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 17, 2026 at 03:38
The author explicitly states they are not positioned long US Treasuries, viewing them as poor-performing assets to be avoided.
TLT HIGH Mar 15, 18:33
"If you are under the impression we are long USTs you are even more clueless than i initially thought."
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 15, 2026 at 18:33
The author believes the "dollar milkshake theory" framework is structurally bearish for bonds.
TLT MED Mar 15, 17:54
"Not even smart enough to understand that bonds are not dollars and that the milkshake has always been negative for bonds…🤦‍♂️"
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 15, 2026 at 17:54
The US Dollar's role as the key variable in global markets remains intact, and its importance should not be underestimated as a portfolio consideration.
UUP MED Mar 14, 16:18
"[Bc single most important variable in global markets is relative level of fiat currencies.]"
𝕏 @santiagoaufund ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 14, 2026 at 16:18
@MountainPeopl17 @bertbautista99 I don’t invest in the USD. The dollar is a catalyst. Not the investment. Not that I would expect you to understand this concept.
DXY Mar 08, 11:50
March 08, 2026 at 11:50
SantiagoAuFund | 67 trade ideas tracked | TLT, USD, GOLD, FXI, SPY | Twitter | Buzzberg