RJ Scaringe

CEO, Rivian
@RJScaringe · tracked since Feb 2026
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RIVN long +28.0%
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RIVN ×1
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RIVN long 3 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 100%
90d 100%
Average Return +28.0% Long Return +28.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +11.4%
30d +9.5%
90d +1.9%
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Long
Feb 12
$14.00
+28.0%
Scaringe states Q4 was the "first quarter where we've really achieved positive gross margin on a cash basis" with "$2,000 of profit per vehicle." He confirms R2 deliveries begin in "the second quarter this year." Positive cash gross margin is the critical inflection point for EV manufacturers, signaling the end of losing cash on every unit sold solely due to variable costs. The launch of the R2 platform in Q2 provides the necessary volume catalyst to amortize the heavy fixed costs ($11k depreciation/unit) and move toward GAAP profitability. LONG. The transition to unit-level cash profitability combined with the imminent launch of a mass-market vehicle (R2) de-risks the fundamental thesis significantly. High depreciation costs ($11k/unit) keep GAAP earnings negative; execution risk on the R2 production ramp; potential demand softness if premium launch pricing is rejected by the mass market.
Scaringe states Q4 was the "first quarter where we've really achieved positive gross margin on a cash basis" with "$2,000 of profit per vehicle." He confirms R2 deliveries begin in "the second quarter this year." Positive cash gross margin is the critical inflection point for EV manufacturers, signaling the end of losing cash on every unit sold solely due to variable costs. The launch of the R2 platform in Q2 provides the necessary volume catalyst to amortize the heavy fixed costs ($11k depreciation/unit) and move toward GAAP profitability. LONG. The transition to unit-level cash profitability combined with the imminent launch of a mass-market vehicle (R2) de-risks the fundamental thesis significantly. High depreciation costs ($11k/unit) keep GAAP earnings negative; execution risk on the R2 production ramp; potential demand softness if premium launch pricing is rejected by the mass market.
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