Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates
·tracked since Jun 2026
897
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The surprise this week is not just high yields but volatility in rates driven by Treasury supply/demand; for retail investors, she would prefer cash or short-term fixed income and diversified assets like gold rather than taking duration risk.
Higher-yielding corporate and AI infrastructure bonds are pulling demand away from Treasuries while the U.S. needs to fund a roughly $2 trillion deficit; combined with strong growth and sticky inflation that could push the Fed to raise rates, these supply/demand forces keep long-dated Treasury yields elevated.
Emerging market stocks and bonds have outperformed the US this year, partly on fundamentals; Korea and Taiwan are benefiting from AI demand and commodity-exporting countries may be helped by commodity exports.
Emerging market stocks and bonds have outperformed the US this year, partly on fundamentals; Korea and Taiwan are benefiting from AI demand and commodity-exporting countries may be helped by commodity exports.
Emerging market stocks and bonds have outperformed the US this year, partly on fundamentals; Korea and Taiwan are benefiting from AI demand and commodity-exporting countries may be helped by commodity exports.
With the U.S. economy still resilient and inflation well above the Fed's target for over five years, the market is rightfully biased toward interest rate hikes rather than cuts. Rate cuts this year are off the table, and balance sheet tightening is a next-year story, so short-term rates should stay elevated or move higher.
Regardless of short‑term oil price moves, the US‑Iran deal reinforces a longer‑term shift: countries will spend heavily to secure energy supply chains and build new infrastructure. Energy infrastructure is therefore a high‑certainty, long‑term investment that should outperform.
Rebecca Patterson has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since June 2026. Ranked #897 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GOLD, SHORT-TERM FIXED INCOME, TLT.
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