p

plur_daddy 5.0 19 ideas

After 1 day
N/A
10/15 min ideas
After 1 week
N/A
13/15 min ideas
After 1 month
N/A
14/15 min ideas
10 winning  /  4 losing  ·  14 positions (30d)
Net: +3.4%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
SPY SHORT $658.60 Mar 19
SPY SHORT $657.16 Mar 19
By sector
ETF
11 ideas +12.0%
Commodity
8 ideas -3.0%
Top tickers (by frequency)
GOLD 4 ideas
75% W -2.6%
SPY 3 ideas
— —
SILVER 3 ideas
67% W -2.0%
GLD 3 ideas
67% W -1.2%
USO 2 ideas
100% W +36.8%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG +58.4%
The author believes any market rally on hopes of a quick resolution to the Middle East conflict is a fade, as the confli...
Feb 28
SILVER LONG +32.7%
1. THE FACT: Long gold and silver is a high risk/reward, sleep-at-night trade. The gold move is just getting started aft...
Dec 12
GLD SHORT +10.6%
The author is reducing long exposure to gold as the perceived risk of a major Iran conflict escalation has diminished du...
Mar 02
Worst calls
SILVER SHORT -60.0%
1. THE FACT: "Sold the rest around $80 when it became clear the reversal was happening. Lightened up on gold too, hoping...
Dec 29
GOLD SHORT -24.1%
1. THE FACT: "Lightened up on gold too, hoping to rebuy lower. If I need to rebuy higher, so be it." 2. THE BRIDGE: The ...
Dec 29
GLD LONG -14.3%
A significant escalation in the Iran conflict, specifically drawing in China, would trigger a massive flight to safety, ...
Feb 28
Avoid corn despite potential geopolitical supply catalysts, as high existing stocks and rapid supply responses make timing trades extremely difficult.
CORN MED Apr 13, 17:00
"So even if there is a supply catalyst from Hormuz, it's a tougher play imo"
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 17:00
𝕏 @plur_daddy
Conflicting macro factors and headline-driven volatility are creating a choppy, trendless market, making cash the safest position to avoid round-tripping gains.
SPY HIGH Mar 25, 11:00
"I'm getting the message loud and clear, this is simply a challenging environment to do much of anything, and the best move is to be in cash."
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 25, 2026 at 11:00
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author believes a significant market downturn is a necessary precondition for political action (a ceasefire), implying a short position on equities until that catalyst occurs.
SPY MED Mar 19, 14:03
"equities need to go lower to motivate them enough to take the bitter medicine of a ceasefire"
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 19, 2026 at 14:03
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author argues that despite the market's structural resilience and ingrained "buy-the-dip" behavior, the probability of a significant equity market breakdown is now rising.
SPY MED Mar 19, 13:02
"Equity bears are at the brink of insanity given resilience in the indices, but odds of a breakdown are increasing now."
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 19, 2026 at 13:02
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author believes crude oil is artificially suppressed by government action and is mispriced, as it doesn't account for persistent geopolitical risks, implying it should be higher.
USO MED Mar 11, 08:56
"At a high level, everything is keying off crude prices, which are being manipulated lower as prices do not reflect the risk that still remains."
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 11, 2026 at 08:56
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author is reducing long exposure to gold as the perceived risk of a major Iran conflict escalation has diminished due to the one-sided nature of the military engagement.
GLD HIGH Mar 02, 02:55
"I cut leverage in gold down and took some gains, still holding a solid amount,"
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 02, 2026 at 02:55
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author believes any market rally on hopes of a quick resolution to the Middle East conflict is a fade, as the conflict is likely to persist and lead to a messy outcome, supporting higher oil prices.
USO MED Feb 28, 14:29
"in my opinion his death wouldn't have much impact on the conflict... more likely they keep pressing."
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 28, 2026 at 14:29
𝕏 @plur_daddy
A significant escalation in the Iran conflict, specifically drawing in China, would trigger a massive flight to safety, causing gold to rally to new highs.
GLD MED Feb 28, 12:12
"Well if China gets involved gold will go to $6k quickly and on towards $7k"
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ short-term Source ↗
February 28, 2026 at 12:12
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author is accumulating a long position in gold, citing its unusual resilience and the presence of significant buyers during recent sell-offs as a sign of underlying strength.
GLD MED Feb 10, 14:18
"[Been gradually getting long gold, in more modest size than before.]"
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 10, 2026 at 14:18
𝕏 @plur_daddy
The author advises against holding illiquid assets like real estate, as rapid technological and geopolitical changes are increasing the value of maintaining liquidity.
XLRE MED Feb 09, 17:38
"In this environment, the premium to liquidity increases significantly."
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ long-term Source ↗
February 09, 2026 at 17:38
𝕏 @plur_daddy
1. THE FACT: "650-750k barrels/day that went to China will be entering world markets, possibly shipped up to US gulf coast for refining as refineries there are built to handle heavy sour grades. In addition, 200-300k barrels/day in immediate" 2. THE BRIDGE: An additional 650-750k barrels/day (plus 200-300k barrels/day) of Venezuelan oil entering world markets represents a significant increase in supply, which could put downward pressure on oil prices. 3. THE VERDICT: Short crude oil due to increased supply from Venezuela.
WTI Jan 03, 17:27
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
January 03, 2026 at 17:27
𝕏 @plur_daddy
1. THE FACT: "Sold the rest around $80 when it became clear the reversal was happening. Lightened up on gold too, hoping to rebuy lower." 2. THE BRIDGE: The speaker observed a clear reversal in silver's price action and took profits, indicating a belief that the price would decline further. 3. THE VERDICT: Short silver due to observed reversal and expectation of lower prices.
SILVER Dec 29, 00:45
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ short-term Source ↗
December 29, 2025 at 00:45
𝕏 @plur_daddy
1. THE FACT: "Lightened up on gold too, hoping to rebuy lower. If I need to rebuy higher, so be it." 2. THE BRIDGE: The speaker reduced their gold position, anticipating a potential dip to rebuy at a lower price. 3. THE VERDICT: Short gold with an intent to rebuy lower.
GOLD Dec 29, 00:45
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ short-term Source ↗
December 29, 2025 at 00:45
𝕏 @plur_daddy
1. THE FACT: Long gold and silver is a high risk/reward, sleep-at-night trade. The gold move is just getting started after digesting the August-October leg. The speaker has been long gold on-and-off all year starting in March. 2. THE BRIDGE: The current price action suggests the gold rally is resuming after a consolidation period, offering a good entry point for a high conviction trade. 3. THE VERDICT: Long gold and silver, as the current move is just starting and offers a favorable risk/reward.
SILVER GOLD Dec 12, 13:29
𝕏 @plur_daddy ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
December 12, 2025 at 13:29
𝕏 @plur_daddy
plur_daddy | 19 trade ideas tracked | GOLD, SPY, SILVER, GLD, USO | Twitter | Buzzberg