#574 Alpha Score 56.5

Nick Givanovic

Retired HF manager, 2 Gray Beards co-host
@nickgiva1 · tracked since Jan 2026
574
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Alpha Score 56.5
Calls
14
Win Rate
57.1%
return
+3.3%
Calls 14 1730 Posts tracked · 7.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 5
Best Calls
BTC Long +17.2%
SPY Long +13.6%
STRC Long +13.6%
Worst Calls
SPY Short -15.2%
XAR Long -12.6%
TLT Long -5.4%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×17
BTC ×6
TLT ×3
Recent Calls
AAPL Long 2 months ago
DXY Long 2 months ago
GLD Short 2 months ago
Win Rate 57% Long 8 Short 6
Win Rate
7d 64%
30d 57%
90d 56%
Average Return +3.3% Long Return +6.2% Short Return -0.5%
Average Return
7d +0.3%
30d +3.1%
90d +4.4%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 06
$68296.20
+17.2%
Mildly bullish BTC at current levels for a near-term bounce; no specific catalyst given beyond current price positioning.
Mildly bullish BTC at current levels for a near-term bounce; no specific catalyst given beyond current price positioning.
Crypto Assets
Short
Jan 09
$159.27
+10.5%
Short MSTR because the stock's value is almost entirely contingent on BTC appreciation; a multi-year sideways BTC scenario — already partially underway — would collapse MSTR's NAV premium and leave common equity worth near zero.
Short MSTR because the stock's value is almost entirely contingent on BTC appreciation; a multi-year sideways BTC scenario — already partially underway — would collapse MSTR's NAV premium and leave common equity worth near zero.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jun 17
$86.24
+4.6%
Long the 5-30 yield curve flattener (short long-end duration via TLT) as hawkish Fed rhetoric anchors short rates while compressing the long end premium; author doubled on the Fed statement.
Long the 5-30 yield curve flattener (short long-end duration via TLT) as hawkish Fed rhetoric anchors short rates while compressing the long end premium; author doubled on the Fed statement.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jun 17
$28.20
-0.4%
Long USD as Fed chair's hawkish commitment ("will not continue on my watch") signals tighter-for-longer policy, boosting dollar demand; author doubled position on the statement.
Long USD as Fed chair's hawkish commitment ("will not continue on my watch") signals tighter-for-longer policy, boosting dollar demand; author doubled position on the statement.
FX & Currencies
Short
Mar 12
$667.74
-15.2%
Author holds active SPX put spreads — a defined-risk bearish position on equities — currently profitable, implying ongoing downside conviction in the S&P 500.
Author holds active SPX put spreads — a defined-risk bearish position on equities — currently profitable, implying ongoing downside conviction in the S&P 500.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 05
$93.30
+11.8%
Buy STRF as the pair-trade long leg against STRC short; market will differentiate secured (STRF) from unsecured credit, making STRF the relative beneficiary once STRC's IR peaks.
Buy STRF as the pair-trade long leg against STRC short; market will differentiate secured (STRF) from unsecured credit, making STRF the relative beneficiary once STRC's IR peaks.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jul 20
$86.15
+13.6%
Buy STRC (MicroStrategy preferred) over MSTR short-term; Saylor's strategy requires getting STRC toward par via cash reserves before resuming large BTC accumulation, making the preferred a better risk-adjusted vehicle near-term.
Buy STRC (MicroStrategy preferred) over MSTR short-term; Saylor's strategy requires getting STRC toward par via cash reserves before resuming large BTC accumulation, making the preferred a better risk-adjusted vehicle near-term.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jun 25
$285.96
+11.9%
Buy AAPL on weakness — speaker argues the company's competitive moat insulates it from price hike headwinds long-term, making the current negative price move a temporary overreaction.
Buy AAPL on weakness — speaker argues the company's competitive moat insulates it from price hike headwinds long-term, making the current negative price move a temporary overreaction.
AI Hardware
Short
Jun 17
$388.56
-4.6%
Short gold as a hawkish Fed statement — chair explicitly committing to end a 6-year inflation miss — drives real rates higher and USD strength, pressuring gold prices.
Short gold as a hawkish Fed statement — chair explicitly committing to end a 6-year inflation miss — drives real rates higher and USD strength, pressuring gold prices.
Commodities
Long
May 28
$289.30
-12.6%
Buy XAR (aerospace & defense ETF) — author discloses a long position entered at the open low, identifying XAR as the concentrated vehicle for defense exposure following a post-peace-news selloff that appears to have found its low.
Buy XAR (aerospace & defense ETF) — author discloses a long position entered at the open low, identifying XAR as the concentrated vehicle for defense exposure following a post-peace-news selloff that appears to have found its low.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 12
$86.95
-5.4%
Buy long-duration Treasuries (T-bond futures / TLT) below the 104'00 handle; author entered a position and views current levels as deeply cheap, with 43-day optionality to spread against 5yr or 30yr futures as an added structural benefit.
Buy long-duration Treasuries (T-bond futures / TLT) below the 104'00 handle; author entered a position and views current levels as deeply cheap, with 43-day optionality to spread against 5yr or 30yr futures as an added structural benefit.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 03
$677.14
+13.6%
Buy SPX/SPY near the 6755 level as a short-term bounce trade; speaker cites elevated VIX as the regime context, favoring a 1-hour timeframe tactical long from that support zone.
Buy SPX/SPY near the 6755 level as a short-term bounce trade; speaker cites elevated VIX as the regime context, favoring a 1-hour timeframe tactical long from that support zone.
Equity Indexes
Short
Feb 17
$237.83
+5.1%
Short upside in ITA above $240 through Friday expiry — author holds a large covered-call position pinning the stock near $240 at Friday's close, creating a hard ceiling via gamma/delta dynamics at that strike.
Short upside in ITA above $240 through Friday expiry — author holds a large covered-call position pinning the stock near $240 at Friday's close, creating a hard ceiling via gamma/delta dynamics at that strike.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 05
$94.80
-3.2%
Sell STRC as uncapped interest rate on the instrument means the more investors pay to maintain par, the more the price deteriorates; speaker expects IR to peak and trigger a repricing of unsecured credit risk.
Sell STRC as uncapped interest rate on the instrument means the more investors pay to maintain par, the more the price deteriorates; speaker expects IR to peak and trigger a repricing of unsecured credit risk.
Crypto Treasuries
Showing 14 of 14 calls · sorted by mentions

Nick Givanovic has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 11 tickers since January 2026. Ranked #574 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, TLT.