Calls
3
Nick Wadhams
Defense Lead, Bloomberg Economics
Win Rate
66.7%
return
+17.8%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 21
$243.65
-5.3%
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 21
$80.85
+53.3%
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
Commodities
Long
Feb 21
$54.88
+5.4%
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
"The U.S. deploys a vast array of military forces in the region... idea of the blood he knows strike." High probability of kinetic military action against Iran. This creates immediate supply-side risks for oil (XLE/USO) and demand for defense contractors (ITA) as the US moves assets into the Mediterranean and Arabian Sea. LONG Defense and Energy as a geopolitical hedge. De-escalation or the strike is purely symbolic with no Iranian retaliation.
Thematic ETFs
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Nick Wadhams has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: ITA, XLE, BNO.
