#550 Alpha Score 56.9

Mike Santoli

Senior Markets Commentator
@michaelsantoli · tracked since Mar 2026
550
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Alpha Score 56.9
Calls
10
Win Rate
60.0%
return
+3.6%
Calls 10 12 Posts tracked · 0.1/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 2
90d 2
Best Calls
MS Long +26.9%
GS Long +16.7%
XLF Long +12.5%
Worst Calls
LMT Long -21.0%
ITA Long -10.0%
RTX Long -5.2%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×4
GS ×2
MS ×2
Recent Calls
XLE Long 1 week ago
SMH Long 1 week ago
BRK.B Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 60% Long 10 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 20%
30d 12%
90d 62%
Average Return +3.6% Long Return +3.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -1.8%
30d -3.3%
90d +1.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 15
$697.83
+9.6%
S&P 500 uptrend is intact, recent rally valid.
The S&P 500 has been at a new high 7% of all days since 1957, indicating the general direction of travel is up. The recent 10% rally in 10 days is not a head fake and suggests the low is in, as the market was not overextended before the rally and is discerning between sectors, with AI, tech, and power driving gains.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 02
$861.70
+16.7%
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 02
$167.00
+26.9%
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
Capital Markets
Long
Aug 21
$568.50
-3.2%
Factor strategies converge on semiconductor leadership.
Many independent factor strategies such as best earnings revisions, price momentum, and growth all converged on the same semiconductors exposure because semis had the strongest earnings and price trends. Semis are now about 18% of the S&P, so broad strategies ended up owning them.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 21
$63.62
+2.3%
Energy is new negative-beta diversifier.
With bonds less reliable as diversifiers and utilities now behaving like AI trades, energy stocks have become the consensus negative-beta diversifier. Energy can move opposite the S&P 500 and therefore acts as a portfolio diversifier.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 02
$473.01
+6.9%
Utility growth from data center demand.
Berkshire Hathaway's utility business is poised for growth due to data center energy demand. Greg Abel stated data centers are already 8% of peak load and expect 50% growth over five years, and the company will not pass costs to other customers. This positions the utility as a growth business ahead of the industry.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 02
$250.58
-10.0%
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 02
$676.70
-21.0%
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
Defense
Long
Mar 02
$212.16
-5.2%
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
Defense
Long
Mar 02
$51.30
+12.5%
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Mike Santoli has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #550 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, GS, MS.