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The S&P 500 has been at a new high 7% of all days since 1957, indicating the general direction of travel is up. The recent 10% rally in 10 days is not a head fake and suggests the low is in, as the market was not overextended before the rally and is discerning between sectors, with AI, tech, and power driving gains.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
Factor strategies converge on semiconductor leadership.
Many independent factor strategies such as best earnings revisions, price momentum, and growth all converged on the same semiconductors exposure because semis had the strongest earnings and price trends. Semis are now about 18% of the S&P, so broad strategies ended up owning them.
With bonds less reliable as diversifiers and utilities now behaving like AI trades, energy stocks have become the consensus negative-beta diversifier. Energy can move opposite the S&P 500 and therefore acts as a portfolio diversifier.
Berkshire Hathaway's utility business is poised for growth due to data center energy demand. Greg Abel stated data centers are already 8% of peak load and expect 50% growth over five years, and the company will not pass costs to other customers. This positions the utility as a growth business ahead of the industry.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Defense stocks going up... essentially rotating away from danger." The conflict involves drone and missile exchanges between state actors (Iran/Israel). This guarantees replenishment of munitions and defense systems, directly benefiting prime defense contractors. LONG. Pure play on geopolitical escalation. De-escalation or budget caps in the US.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
"Countertrend rallies in... credit sensitive investment banks." Despite the "fear," credit spreads remain stable ("nowhere near Covid" levels per Joe Terranova). If spreads aren't blowing out, investment banks remain profitable and are currently trading as a value rotation play. LONG. Financials are participating in the rotation. A credit event or spike in yields causing a halt in deal-making.
Mike Santoli has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #550 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, GS, MS.
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