Calls
6
#920
Alpha Score 49.7
Michael Rubin
Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+4.8%
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 06
$671.77
-19.8%
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Defense
Long
Mar 06
$209.76
-7.9%
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Defense
Long
Mar 06
$242.20
-11.9%
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Rubin discusses Trump's goal of "regime change" and bringing Iran "back from the brink of destruction," while acknowledging the US capability to win militarily. Even if the US avoids direct invasion, a "Venezuela-style" collapse or civil war in Iran creates massive regional instability. Neighboring US allies (Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE) will likely accelerate defense procurement to secure their borders against spillover violence or desperate lashes out by the IRGC. This benefits US defense prime contractors. LONG Defense and Aerospace as a geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or a strictly internal, non-violent transition would reduce the risk premium in defense stocks.
Thematic ETFs
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Michael Rubin has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #920 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ITA, XLE, CVX.
Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology
