#630
Alpha Score 16.4
Michael Pento
President & Founder, Pento Portfolio Strategies
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 24
$91.58
-0.2%
Pento states he is "overweight the short end of the Treasury yield curve" and holds cash. In a fragile "Sector 3" environment that could tip into "Sector 1" (deflation/crash), short-term treasuries offer yield without the duration risk of long bonds. They act as "dry powder" to deploy when asset prices eventually correct. LONG Short-Term Treasuries. Rapid rate cuts by the Fed in response to a crisis would lower yield, though capital would remain preserved.
Pento states he is "overweight the short end of the Treasury yield curve" and holds cash. In a fragile "Sector 3" environment that could tip into "Sector 1" (deflation/crash), short-term treasuries offer yield without the duration risk of long bonds. They act as "dry powder" to deploy when asset prices eventually correct. LONG Short-Term Treasuries. Rapid rate cuts by the Fed in response to a crisis would lower yield, though capital would remain preserved.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$474.61
-14.1%
Pento says to "own gold" and is looking to "re-enter silver on a pullback" (noting silver is trading in the low $80s in this 2026 scenario). Precious metals serve as the primary hedge against the two extreme outcomes: "Sector 5" (Stagflation/Hyperinflation) or the monetary debasement required to keep the sovereign debt bubble afloat. LONG Precious Metals. A "Sector 1" liquidity crunch (deflationary crash) often causes gold/silver to sell off initially as investors raise cash.
Pento says to "own gold" and is looking to "re-enter silver on a pullback" (noting silver is trading in the low $80s in this 2026 scenario). Precious metals serve as the primary hedge against the two extreme outcomes: "Sector 5" (Stagflation/Hyperinflation) or the monetary debasement required to keep the sovereign debt bubble afloat. LONG Precious Metals. A "Sector 1" liquidity crunch (deflationary crash) often causes gold/silver to sell off initially as investors raise cash.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$79.08
-16.8%
Pento says to "own gold" and is looking to "re-enter silver on a pullback" (noting silver is trading in the low $80s in this 2026 scenario). Precious metals serve as the primary hedge against the two extreme outcomes: "Sector 5" (Stagflation/Hyperinflation) or the monetary debasement required to keep the sovereign debt bubble afloat. LONG Precious Metals. A "Sector 1" liquidity crunch (deflationary crash) often causes gold/silver to sell off initially as investors raise cash.
Pento says to "own gold" and is looking to "re-enter silver on a pullback" (noting silver is trading in the low $80s in this 2026 scenario). Precious metals serve as the primary hedge against the two extreme outcomes: "Sector 5" (Stagflation/Hyperinflation) or the monetary debasement required to keep the sovereign debt bubble afloat. LONG Precious Metals. A "Sector 1" liquidity crunch (deflationary crash) often causes gold/silver to sell off initially as investors raise cash.
Other
Long
May 12
$28.43
-5.4%
Pento owns commodities, agriculture, uranium, fertilizer stocks, alternative energy, and fossil fuels as part of a stagflation (sector five) positioning. He expects these assets to perform well in a stagflationary environment with rising inflation and weak growth.
Other
Long
May 12
$21.30
+8.4%
Pento owns commodities, agriculture, uranium, fertilizer stocks, alternative energy, and fossil fuels as part of a stagflation (sector five) positioning. He expects these assets to perform well in a stagflationary environment with rising inflation and weak growth.
Energy
Long
May 12
$6.93
+1.2%
Pento owns commodities, agriculture, uranium, fertilizer stocks, alternative energy, and fossil fuels as part of a stagflation (sector five) positioning. He expects these assets to perform well in a stagflationary environment with rising inflation and weak growth.
Other
Long
May 12
$54.47
-7.5%
Pento owns commodities, agriculture, uranium, fertilizer stocks, alternative energy, and fossil fuels as part of a stagflation (sector five) positioning. He expects these assets to perform well in a stagflationary environment with rising inflation and weak growth.
Energy
Long
Feb 24
$104.66
-0.5%
Pento explicitly states he is "overweight international markets" while being underweight US Tech. With US valuations (Buffett Indicator) at 230% of GDP, international markets offer better relative value and less exposure to the specific "AI bubble" dynamics inflating the S&P 500. LONG International Equities. Global contagion; if the US sneezes, the world often catches a cold.
Pento explicitly states he is "overweight international markets" while being underweight US Tech. With US valuations (Buffett Indicator) at 230% of GDP, international markets offer better relative value and less exposure to the specific "AI bubble" dynamics inflating the S&P 500. LONG International Equities. Global contagion; if the US sneezes, the world often catches a cold.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$110.34
-0.2%
Pento states he is "overweight the short end of the Treasury yield curve" and holds cash. In a fragile "Sector 3" environment that could tip into "Sector 1" (deflation/crash), short-term treasuries offer yield without the duration risk of long bonds. They act as "dry powder" to deploy when asset prices eventually correct. LONG Short-Term Treasuries. Rapid rate cuts by the Fed in response to a crisis would lower yield, though capital would remain preserved.
Pento states he is "overweight the short end of the Treasury yield curve" and holds cash. In a fragile "Sector 3" environment that could tip into "Sector 1" (deflation/crash), short-term treasuries offer yield without the duration risk of long bonds. They act as "dry powder" to deploy when asset prices eventually correct. LONG Short-Term Treasuries. Rapid rate cuts by the Fed in response to a crisis would lower yield, though capital would remain preserved.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$83.42
+3.2%
Pento explicitly states he is "overweight international markets" while being underweight US Tech. With US valuations (Buffett Indicator) at 230% of GDP, international markets offer better relative value and less exposure to the specific "AI bubble" dynamics inflating the S&P 500. LONG International Equities. Global contagion; if the US sneezes, the world often catches a cold.
Pento explicitly states he is "overweight international markets" while being underweight US Tech. With US valuations (Buffett Indicator) at 230% of GDP, international markets offer better relative value and less exposure to the specific "AI bubble" dynamics inflating the S&P 500. LONG International Equities. Global contagion; if the US sneezes, the world often catches a cold.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$55.10
+6.6%
Pento mentions, "The energy complex looks interesting to me." Energy is a tangible asset class that performs well in "Sector 5" (inflation/stagflation) scenarios and has been underinvested relative to tech. It serves as a hedge against the devaluation of the currency. LONG Energy Sector. A deep global recession ("Sector 1") would crush demand for oil and gas.
Pento mentions, "The energy complex looks interesting to me." Energy is a tangible asset class that performs well in "Sector 5" (inflation/stagflation) scenarios and has been underinvested relative to tech. It serves as a hedge against the devaluation of the currency. LONG Energy Sector. A deep global recession ("Sector 1") would crush demand for oil and gas.
Energy
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