#1293 Alpha Score 4.6

KawzInvests

Author, Asymmetrical Bets (Substack)
@kawzinvests · tracked since Mar 2026
1293
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Alpha Score 4.6
Calls
69
Win Rate
37.7%
return
-4.6%
Calls 69 1354 Posts tracked · 7.4/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 8
90d 30
Best Calls
AMD Long +153.7%
MRVL Long +146.4%
SLOIF Long +80.8%
Worst Calls
AVEX Long -58.3%
WOLF Long -57.9%
MX Long -54.9%
Most Mentioned
AAOI ×31
NOK ×20
LITE ×17
Recent Calls
TTMI Long 2 weeks ago
BABA Long 3 weeks ago
DRAM Long 4 weeks ago
Win Rate 38% Long 69 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 47%
30d 49%
90d 57%
Average Return -4.6% Long Return -4.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +1.1%
30d +8.0%
90d +17.6%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 13
$102.90
-0.1%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 13
$9.79
+8.4%
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$626.00
+49.4%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$341.60
-2.3%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$245.90
+18.7%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 16
$184.33
+18.5%
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 23
$1060.11
-8.1%
Buy MU into earnings; structural lag between Korean export prices, TrendForce data, and analyst model updates means Micron locks in contracts at higher prices before Street catches up — a mechanism that produced +27% and +33% beats the prior two quarters, with $400B+ hyperscaler capex sustaining AI-driven memory demand.
Buy MU into earnings; structural lag between Korean export prices, TrendForce data, and analyst model updates means Micron locks in contracts at higher prices before Street catches up — a mechanism that produced +27% and +33% beats the prior two quarters, with $400B+ hyperscaler capex sustaining AI-driven memory demand.
AI Memory
Long
Jun 22
$116.80
-20.0%
Buy Aehr Test Systems as a named pick in author's AI power semiconductor thesis; Aehr provides wafer-level burn-in test equipment for SiC devices, positioned to benefit from rising SiC production volumes for 800V DC data center power conversion.
Buy Aehr Test Systems as a named pick in author's AI power semiconductor thesis; Aehr provides wafer-level burn-in test equipment for SiC devices, positioned to benefit from rising SiC production volumes for 800V DC data center power conversion.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Apr 14
$87.38
+80.8%
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Apr 13
$147.70
+8.4%
Buy CRDO as its acquisition of DustPhotonics directly mitigates the existential threat to its AEC business from the shift to silicon photonics, strengthening its competitive positioning and technology roadmap.
Buy CRDO as its acquisition of DustPhotonics directly mitigates the existential threat to its AEC business from the shift to silicon photonics, strengthening its competitive positioning and technology roadmap.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 27
$34.58
+7.9%
Viavi Solutions is positioned as a critical infrastructure provider for high-speed AI optical networks.
Viavi Solutions is positioned as a critical infrastructure provider for high-speed AI optical networks.
AI Photonics
Long
May 18
$45.91
+7.6%
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
AI Hardware
Long
Aug 08
$1219.98
+37.9%
Contrarian buy memory on peak bearish consensus
Buy memory names contrarily as bearish consensus peaks; author draws explicit parallel to optics two weeks prior when timeline panic over imaginary capex cuts proved to be the buy signal, suggesting memory selloff is similarly overdone.
AI Memory
Long
May 02
$5.43
+38.9%
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
Cybersecurity
Long
Apr 20
$38.28
-58.3%
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
Defense
Showing 15 of 69 calls · sorted by mentions

KawzInvests has 69 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 69 tickers since March 2026. Win rate 38% across 69 evaluated calls, average return -4.6%. Ranked #1293 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AAOI, NOK, LITE.