KawzInvests 5.0 87 ideas

Research-focused. Photonics. AI. Defense. Tech. Space. Optic Supercycle
After 1 day
13%winrate
-16.4% avg
9W / 60L · 69/75 ideas
After 1 week
13%winrate
-3.7% avg
9W / 61L · 70/76 ideas
After 1 month
N/A
4/15 min ideas
4 winning  /  0 losing  ·  4 positions (30d)
Net: +90.8%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
SLOIF LONG $87.38 Apr 14
FLY LONG $38.81 Apr 13
CRDO LONG $147.70 Apr 13
NOK LONG $9.79 Apr 13
ALMU LONG $13.68 Apr 13
LASR LONG $65.51 Apr 12
OPTX LONG $9.79 Apr 12
AAOI LONG $145.75 Apr 10
AAOI LONG $145.83 Apr 10
LITE LONG $909.44 Apr 10
AAOI LONG $107.51 Apr 02
RKLB SHORT $66.17 Apr 01
ASTS SHORT $84.55 Apr 01
RDW SHORT $9.18 Apr 01
PL SHORT $30.54 Apr 01
COHR SHORT $215.70 Mar 31
LITE SHORT $634.50 Mar 31
SPY SHORT $635.72 Mar 30
QQQ SHORT $562.45 Mar 30
VIAV LONG $34.58 Mar 27
NVDA LONG $179.28 Mar 25
GOOG SHORT $289.25 Mar 25
NVDA SHORT $177.18 Mar 25
AAOI LONG $112.51 Mar 24
AAOI LONG $99.14 Mar 24
MSFT LONG $383.25 Mar 23
META LONG $604.42 Mar 23
NVDA LONG $175.90 Mar 23
NVDA LONG $173.69 Mar 20
MRVL LONG $87.72 Mar 20
By sector
Stock
85 ideas +90.8%
ETF
2 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
AAOI 15 ideas
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LITE 10 ideas
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NVDA 9 ideas
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COHR 9 ideas
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CIEN 6 ideas
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Best and worst calls
Best calls
LWLG LONG +111.2%
LWLG and TSEM surge following a strategic partnership announcement in the photonics sector.
Mar 11
TSEM LONG +70.5%
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
Mar 11
Worst calls
TSEM LONG +70.5%
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
Mar 11
LWLG LONG +111.2%
LWLG and TSEM surge following a strategic partnership announcement in the photonics sector.
Mar 11
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
SLOIF HIGH Apr 14, 19:56
"It is the only company on earth supplying the substrate TSMC, GlobalFoundries, STMicro, and Intel use for silicon photonics at volume. There is no second source."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 14, 2026 at 19:56
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Buy FLY as it is significantly undervalued relative to peer RKLB, trading at 13x forward revenue versus 45x, and possesses a recently acquired, profitable $164M EBITDA-positive business that the market is overlooking.
FLY HIGH Apr 13, 22:39
"$FLY guides $420M to $450M this year and trades at about 13x that. The market cap gap between them is 7 to 1."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 22:39
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Buy CRDO as its acquisition of DustPhotonics directly mitigates the existential threat to its AEC business from the shift to silicon photonics, strengthening its competitive positioning and technology roadmap.
CRDO HIGH Apr 13, 21:09
"This deal answers that."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 21:09
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
NOK HIGH Apr 13, 13:52
"Nokia sits directly in that supply chain and now has the Nvidia partnership layering an entirely separate AI-RAN revenue stream on top."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 13:52
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Go long ALMU as the company secures lucrative US government contracts and establishes a critical fabrication partnership with Tower Semiconductor, a premier Western silicon photonics foundry.
ALMU HIGH Apr 13, 13:33
"$ALMU just secured $TSEM as their wafer production and fabrication partner."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 13:33
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Buy LASR due to escalating Middle East conflict (US Hormuz blockade) highlighting the asymmetric cost advantage of laser defenses over traditional interceptors, with a near-term catalyst from a major contract demonstration.
LASR MED Apr 12, 22:33
"$LASR is the only US publicly traded pure-play directed energy weapons stock. Supplier to Iron Beam. Holds a $171M contract to demonstrate a 1MW laser for Golden Dome this year."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ short-term to medium-term Source ↗
April 12, 2026 at 22:33
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Go long OPTX as it is one of the only domestic polymer optics manufacturers that qualifies under NDAA Section 834 and Anduril's strict anti-China sourcing policies.
OPTX HIGH Apr 12, 19:40
"NDAA Section 834 bans adversary-nation optics by 2030. Those constraints together eliminate most of the field."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 12, 2026 at 19:40
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
The author rebuts a prominent short thesis by presenting detailed capacity ramp data to argue that AAOI's growth requires multiple customers, implying the stock should not fall as the short predicts.
AAOI HIGH Apr 10, 14:29
"Oracle's entire AI buildout cannot absorb that volume. A ramp of this scale requires multiple hyperscaler customers. The concentration thesis does not survive contact with the output numbers."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 14:29
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Refuting a short report, the author argues that AAOI's massive production ramp indicates strong demand from multiple hyperscalers beyond just Oracle.
AAOI HIGH Apr 10, 14:23
"The concentration thesis does not survive contact with the output numbers."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 14:23
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
LITE is a strong long because its key product is sold out for years due to essential and irreplaceable demand for AI data center optics, a thesis validated by NVIDIA's large, non-cancelable investment.
LITE HIGH Apr 10, 14:19
"$LITE just extended its sold-out window from end of 2027 to all of 2028."
𝕏 @kawzinvests ⏲ long-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 14:19
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Applied Optoelectronics secures a significant $71M order, marking its third major contract win in three weeks.
AAOI Apr 02, 21:33
𝕏 @kawzinvests Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 21:33
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
Space stocks are experiencing significant price drops despite positive industry news regarding a potential SpaceX IPO.
ASTS RKLB RDW PL Apr 01, 19:42
𝕏 @kawzinvests Source ↗
April 01, 2026 at 19:42
𝕏 @kawzinvests
Research-focused....
KawzInvests (Research-focused. Photonics. AI. Defense. Tech. Space. Optic Supercycle) | 87 trade ideas tracked | AAOI, LITE, NVDA, COHR, CIEN | Twitter | Buzzberg