#9 Alpha Score 99.0

KawzInvests

Author, Asymmetrical Bets (Substack)
@kawzinvests · tracked since Mar 2026
9
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 99.0
Calls 35 904 Posts tracked · 9.6/day Posted today
Calls
7d 3
30d 8
90d 29
Best Calls
MRVL long +175.8%
AMD long +128.2%
TSEM long +89.9%
Worst Calls
AVEX long -46.8%
AXTI long -39.0%
ALM long -20.7%
Most Mentioned
AAOI ×23
NOK ×13
LITE ×11
Recent Calls
SKM long 1 day ago
CSCO long 2 days ago
FN long 2 days ago
Win Rate 60% Long 35 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 79%
30d 85%
90d 100%
Average Return +26.5% Long Return +26.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +9.4%
30d +34.6%
90d +67.6%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 13
$102.90
+70.2%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Photonics
Long
Apr 13
$9.79
+36.9%
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$626.00
+36.3%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$245.90
+44.3%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$341.60
+27.2%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Photonics
Long
Mar 16
$184.33
+8.7%
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 14
$87.38
+63.9%
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
AI/Semi
Long
May 18
$45.91
+27.5%
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 13
$38.81
-13.9%
Buy FLY as it is significantly undervalued relative to peer RKLB, trading at 13x forward revenue versus 45x, and possesses a recently acquired, profitable $164M EBITDA-positive business that the market is overlooking.
Buy FLY as it is significantly undervalued relative to peer RKLB, trading at 13x forward revenue versus 45x, and possesses a recently acquired, profitable $164M EBITDA-positive business that the market is overlooking.
NatSec
Long
Apr 12
$9.79
+30.7%
Go long OPTX as it is one of the only domestic polymer optics manufacturers that qualifies under NDAA Section 834 and Anduril's strict anti-China sourcing policies.
Go long OPTX as it is one of the only domestic polymer optics manufacturers that qualifies under NDAA Section 834 and Anduril's strict anti-China sourcing policies.
Photonics
Long
Mar 11
$122.99
+89.9%
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 20
$38.28
-46.8%
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
NatSec
Long
Mar 11
$6.28
+47.0%
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
LWLG surges after signing a strategic photonics licensing deal with Tower Semiconductor.
Photonics
Long
Jun 11
$36.76
+2.9%
Buy SKM as a deeply undervalued Anthropic proxy: a $100M stake now worth ~$2.7B (~19% of market cap), exclusive Project Glasswing access, CEO confirmed no sell plans, and a gigawatt-scale NVDA AI Cloud partnership — all at 6.1x EV/EBITDA with a 4.4% dividend yield.
Buy SKM as a deeply undervalued Anthropic proxy: a $100M stake now worth ~$2.7B (~19% of market cap), exclusive Project Glasswing access, CEO confirmed no sell plans, and a gigawatt-scale NVDA AI Cloud partnership — all at 6.1x EV/EBITDA with a 4.4% dividend yield.
Other
Long
May 02
$5.43
+62.4%
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
NatSec
Showing 15 of 35 picks · sorted by mentions

KawzInvests has 35 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 35 tickers since March 2026. Win rate 60% across 35 evaluated calls, average return +26.5%. Ranked #9 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AAOI, NOK, LITE.