Kasia Kliasinska 1.9 3 ideas

"The European Union is set to freeze the ratification process of its trade deal with the United States while it seeks more details from the Trump administration." The freezing of trade deals combined with the threat of a new 15% tariff creates immediate economic headwinds for the Eurozone. Uncertainty regarding export conditions to the US (a major trading partner) will likely compress valuations for European equities. Short or Avoid European equities until trade clarity is restored. The Trump administration could successfully reassure the EU, leading to a quick unfreezing of the deal.

"India has cancelled a trip that they planned to DC this week to negotiate their trade deal." India's cancellation of trade talks represents a tangible diplomatic breakdown. If emerging markets begin disengaging from US trade negotiations due to tariff risks, it dampens the growth outlook for export-dependent sectors in these economies. Avoid India exposure amidst deteriorating trade diplomacy. The cancellation could be a temporary negotiating tactic rather than a long-term policy shift.