JM

Jorge Montepeque 5.0 9 ideas

President, Benchmark & Energy Management (Platts/S&P)
Not enough evaluated ideas yet
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
WTI LONG $130.58 Apr 13
XLE LONG $57.10 Apr 13
BRENT LONG $47.05 Apr 13
CL1! LONG $124.57 Apr 13
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▶ YouTube Onyx: Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Threat 'Makes No Sense'
Oil prices to rise on blockade threat.
The U.S. threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz is irrational and creates significant supply risk; if implemented, it would cut off 12 million barrels per day of oil, leading to demand destruction and much higher oil prices, with current prices mispriced and not reflecting the full risk.
WTI HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 13, 15:22
Jorge Montepeque
President, Benchmark &...
▶ YouTube Onyx: Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Threat 'Makes No Sense'
Asian economies at risk from oil blockade.
Asian countries heavily dependent on oil imports via the Strait of Hormuz, such as Korea, Japan, Singapore, Australia, and the Philippines, will suffer severe economic pain and have no easy alternatives if the blockade proceeds, making them vulnerable and risky.
EWJ EWA EWS EPHE EWY HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 13, 15:22
Jorge Montepeque
President, Benchmark &...
▶ YouTube Onyx: Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Threat 'Makes No Sense'
U.S. benefits from oil supply disruptions.
The United States is a net beneficiary of the Strait of Hormuz disruptions because it exports crude oil and LNG, allowing it to gain pricing power and replace lost supplies for Asian importers, benefiting from increased energy exports.
XLE HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 13, 15:22
Jorge Montepeque
President, Benchmark &...
▶ YouTube Hormuz Blockade Threat Jars Oil Markets, Asia Braces for Shock|Insight with Haslinda Amin 04/13/2026
Oil is deeply mispriced and should be $150.
The current oil price of around $103 does not reflect the severe supply risk posed by a potential U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which would cut off 12 million barrels per day of Iranian oil and has no viable short-term alternatives. Given the scale of potential disruption and the need for demand destruction, oil prices should be closer to $140-$150. He expects oil to average above $100 for the rest of the year.
BRENT CL1! HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 13, 06:11
Jorge Montepeque
President, Benchmark &...
Jorge Montepeque (President, Benchmark & Energy Management (Platts/S&P)) | 9 trade ideas tracked | XLE, WTI, CL1!, BRENT, EWJ | YouTube | Buzzberg