Buzzberg Cup Live
#399 Alpha Score 60.6

John Collison

Co-founder and President, Stripe
@collision · tracked since Feb 2026
399
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Alpha Score 60.6
Calls
6
Win Rate
60.0%
return
+2.0%
Calls 6 72 Posts tracked · 0.5/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
IGV Long +18.4%
NVDA Long +5.2%
MSFT Long +1.2%
Worst Calls
BOTZ Long -11.8%
COIN Long -3.0%
Most Mentioned
MSFT ×1
IGV ×1
NVDA ×1
Recent Calls
COIN Long 4 months ago
USDT Long 4 months ago
NVDA Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 60% Long 6 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 67%
30d 33%
90d 100%
Average Return +2.0% Long Return +2.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +1.9%
30d -3.8%
90d +10.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 24
$39.01
-11.8%
"We're seeing a really fast growing cohort of companies... obviously all the AI labs and everything running on Stripe. So AI is really acting as a tailwind for the business." Collison confirms that AI is not just a capital expenditure bubble but is generating actual, processable revenue ("payment volume") right now. Furthermore, he notes AI products are "generally not tariffed," making them a superior asset class in a protectionist trade environment compared to physical goods. LONG AI leaders and infrastructure. Regulatory crackdowns on AI models.
"We're seeing a really fast growing cohort of companies... obviously all the AI labs and everything running on Stripe. So AI is really acting as a tailwind for the business." Collison confirms that AI is not just a capital expenditure bubble but is generating actual, processable revenue ("payment volume") right now. Furthermore, he notes AI products are "generally not tariffed," making them a superior asset class in a protectionist trade environment compared to physical goods. LONG AI leaders and infrastructure. Regulatory crackdowns on AI models.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 24
$162.03
-3.0%
"Stablecoins... they're finally starting to work for real world use cases. So we're seeing real stablecoin volumes." He also mentions incubating a blockchain for "agent to agent commerce" expected in 2026. When a major TradFi/Fintech incumbent like Stripe validates "real volume" in stablecoins, it signals the transition from speculative crypto trading to utility-based payments. This benefits the infrastructure providers and exchanges that facilitate these flows. LONG Stablecoin ecosystem proxies. Harsh regulatory intervention on stablecoin issuers.
"Stablecoins... they're finally starting to work for real world use cases. So we're seeing real stablecoin volumes." He also mentions incubating a blockchain for "agent to agent commerce" expected in 2026. When a major TradFi/Fintech incumbent like Stripe validates "real volume" in stablecoins, it signals the transition from speculative crypto trading to utility-based payments. This benefits the infrastructure providers and exchanges that facilitate these flows. LONG Stablecoin ecosystem proxies. Harsh regulatory intervention on stablecoin issuers.
Crypto Infrastructure
Long
Feb 24
$78.41
+18.4%
Collison states, "All of the software businesses we work with... are continuing to grow really strongly... Generally speaking the growth of software companies has been quite strong." He notes this disconnect is driven by "markets really hate uncertainty" rather than earnings misses. Stripe has a "God's eye view" of the digital economy ($1.9T volume). If their data shows robust growth in software revenue while stock prices are falling, the sector is fundamentally mispriced due to sentiment. This creates a buying opportunity in broad software indices and key enterprise players. LONG high-quality software infrastructure. Continued multiple compression due to macro interest rates.
Collison states, "All of the software businesses we work with... are continuing to grow really strongly... Generally speaking the growth of software companies has been quite strong." He notes this disconnect is driven by "markets really hate uncertainty" rather than earnings misses. Stripe has a "God's eye view" of the digital economy ($1.9T volume). If their data shows robust growth in software revenue while stock prices are falling, the sector is fundamentally mispriced due to sentiment. This creates a buying opportunity in broad software indices and key enterprise players. LONG high-quality software infrastructure. Continued multiple compression due to macro interest rates.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 24
$389.00
+1.2%
Collison states, "All of the software businesses we work with... are continuing to grow really strongly... Generally speaking the growth of software companies has been quite strong." He notes this disconnect is driven by "markets really hate uncertainty" rather than earnings misses. Stripe has a "God's eye view" of the digital economy ($1.9T volume). If their data shows robust growth in software revenue while stock prices are falling, the sector is fundamentally mispriced due to sentiment. This creates a buying opportunity in broad software indices and key enterprise players. LONG high-quality software infrastructure. Continued multiple compression due to macro interest rates.
Collison states, "All of the software businesses we work with... are continuing to grow really strongly... Generally speaking the growth of software companies has been quite strong." He notes this disconnect is driven by "markets really hate uncertainty" rather than earnings misses. Stripe has a "God's eye view" of the digital economy ($1.9T volume). If their data shows robust growth in software revenue while stock prices are falling, the sector is fundamentally mispriced due to sentiment. This creates a buying opportunity in broad software indices and key enterprise players. LONG high-quality software infrastructure. Continued multiple compression due to macro interest rates.
Hyperscalers
Long
Feb 24
$192.85
+5.2%
"We're seeing a really fast growing cohort of companies... obviously all the AI labs and everything running on Stripe. So AI is really acting as a tailwind for the business." Collison confirms that AI is not just a capital expenditure bubble but is generating actual, processable revenue ("payment volume") right now. Furthermore, he notes AI products are "generally not tariffed," making them a superior asset class in a protectionist trade environment compared to physical goods. LONG AI leaders and infrastructure. Regulatory crackdowns on AI models.
"We're seeing a really fast growing cohort of companies... obviously all the AI labs and everything running on Stripe. So AI is really acting as a tailwind for the business." Collison confirms that AI is not just a capital expenditure bubble but is generating actual, processable revenue ("payment volume") right now. Furthermore, he notes AI products are "generally not tariffed," making them a superior asset class in a protectionist trade environment compared to physical goods. LONG AI leaders and infrastructure. Regulatory crackdowns on AI models.
AI Compute
Long
Feb 24
$1.00
-
"Stablecoins... they're finally starting to work for real world use cases. So we're seeing real stablecoin volumes." He also mentions incubating a blockchain for "agent to agent commerce" expected in 2026. When a major TradFi/Fintech incumbent like Stripe validates "real volume" in stablecoins, it signals the transition from speculative crypto trading to utility-based payments. This benefits the infrastructure providers and exchanges that facilitate these flows. LONG Stablecoin ecosystem proxies. Harsh regulatory intervention on stablecoin issuers.
"Stablecoins... they're finally starting to work for real world use cases. So we're seeing real stablecoin volumes." He also mentions incubating a blockchain for "agent to agent commerce" expected in 2026. When a major TradFi/Fintech incumbent like Stripe validates "real volume" in stablecoins, it signals the transition from speculative crypto trading to utility-based payments. This benefits the infrastructure providers and exchanges that facilitate these flows. LONG Stablecoin ecosystem proxies. Harsh regulatory intervention on stablecoin issuers.
Crypto Assets
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

John Collison has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #399 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MSFT, IGV, NVDA.