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itsDanielWu 5.0 9 ideas

After 1 day
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8/15 min ideas
After 1 week
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8/15 min ideas
After 1 month
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7/15 min ideas
3 winning  /  4 losing  ·  7 positions (30d)
Net: -5.9%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
APP LONG $439.30 Mar 19
By sector
Stock
7 ideas -9.3%
ETF
2 ideas +2.6%
Top tickers (by frequency)
NVDA 2 ideas
50% W +4.6%
ADBE 1 ideas
100% W +4.2%
QQQ 1 ideas
0% W -5.6%
SMH 1 ideas
100% W +10.8%
NET 1 ideas
0% W -28.3%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
SMH SHORT +10.8%
The semiconductor memory sector is facing a future where supply/demand normalization will cause significant price declin...
Feb 27
NVDA SHORT +10.7%
The author questions the math behind NVIDIA's revenue claims, suggesting that the company's reported Blackwell deploymen...
Feb 26
ADBE SHORT +4.2%
The bull case for Adobe's generative AI is weakened by its insufficient IP indemnification, which exposes the company an...
Feb 20
Worst calls
SNDK SHORT -31.9%
The author is expressing skepticism about a bullish forecast for $SNDK's run rate EPS, suggesting via analogy that the e...
Mar 11
NET SHORT -28.3%
The author is sarcastically highlighting that even after a steep price decline, the stock's valuation remains extremely ...
Feb 24
QQQ LONG -5.6%
The author dismisses the idea that niche, custom-built apps ("vibe coding") pose a real threat to established SaaS compa...
Feb 24
A negative forensic report pressuring the stock is based on flawed data, suggesting the bearish thesis is weak and the market may be overreacting.
APP MED Mar 19, 23:39
"Because this supposedly exhaustive forensic investigation literally got the main character wrong by confusing Huang Youlong for Tang Hao."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 19, 2026 at 23:39
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author is expressing skepticism about a bullish forecast for $SNDK's run rate EPS, suggesting via analogy that the expectation is an absurd and unrealistic extrapolation.
SNDK MED Mar 11, 23:50
"This is kind of like implying Klaebo bursted uphill in skis at 11mph pace so should run a full uphill marathon in 2.5 hr."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 11, 2026 at 23:50
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author claims Nvidia's unit market share is double what a report suggests, indicating a much stronger competitive position than may be perceived.
NVDA MED Mar 03, 21:10
"$NVDA unit share closer to 30% than 15%."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 03, 2026 at 21:10
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author asserts that a report's text overstates Broadcom's CY25 TPU shipments, and that the lower number is correct, implying consensus or hype may be too high.
AVGO MED Mar 03, 21:10
"I believe table is correct as $AVGO CY25 AI revs don't allow for 3.7m units."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 03, 2026 at 21:10
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The semiconductor memory sector is facing a future where supply/demand normalization will cause significant price declines that overwhelm bit growth, leading to severe margin compression.
SMH HIGH Feb 27, 20:28
"Zero way 20-25% bit growth once new clean rooms come online will offset the 80% crush in price when S/D normalises."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 27, 2026 at 20:28
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author questions the math behind NVIDIA's revenue claims, suggesting that the company's reported Blackwell deployment figures may not align with its revenue, implying a potential overstatement in the bull case.
NVDA MED Feb 26, 01:28
"[Can someone help me reconcile"
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 26, 2026 at 01:28
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author dismisses the idea that niche, custom-built apps ("vibe coding") pose a real threat to established SaaS companies, as enterprises primarily buy software to outsource the burden of maintenance.
QQQ MED Feb 24, 10:37
"Can’t believe we’re still discussing vibe coding as the (strawman) threat to SaaS."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ long-term Source ↗
February 24, 2026 at 10:37
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The author is sarcastically highlighting that even after a steep price decline, the stock's valuation remains extremely high, implying a bearish view.
NET MED Feb 24, 05:45
"Long $NET because it’s been decimated to checks notes 104x 2Y fwd P/E."
𝕏 @itsDanielWu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 24, 2026 at 05:45
𝕏 @itsDanielWu
The bull case for Adobe's generative AI is weakened by its insufficient IP indemnification, which exposes the company and its customers to significant legal and financial risk from copyright lawsuits.
ADBE HIGH Feb 20, 01:53
"IP indemnification is only available on the most expensive Team and Enterprise plans, and is capped at $10k per instance."
𝕏 @itsdanielwu ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 20, 2026 at 01:53
𝕏 @itsdanielwu
itsDanielWu | 9 trade ideas tracked | NVDA, ADBE, QQQ, SMH, NET | Twitter | Buzzberg