#1233 Alpha Score 3.4

itsDanielWu

@itsDanielWu · tracked since Feb 2026
1233
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Alpha Score 3.4
Calls
13
Win Rate
46.1%
return
-18.3%
Calls 13 214 Posts tracked · 1.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 1
Best Calls
NVDA Long +24.9%
QQQ Long +16.6%
ASML Long +13.9%
Worst Calls
SNDK Short -138.9%
NET Short -68.1%
SMH Short -35.5%
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×3
QQQ ×2
META ×2
Recent Calls
TTD Short 3 weeks ago
ASML Long 3 months ago
AMAT Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 46% Long 6 Short 7
Win Rate
7d 54%
30d 67%
90d 67%
Average Return -18.3% Long Return +6.2% Short Return -39.3%
Average Return
7d +0.8%
30d +6.3%
90d -8.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Apr 30
$614.50
+3.1%
Short META as aggressive capex spending is expected to destroy profitability, leading to zero earnings by year-end.
Short META as aggressive capex spending is expected to destroy profitability, leading to zero earnings by year-end.
Hyperscalers
Long
Mar 03
$180.05
+24.9%
The author claims Nvidia's unit market share is double what a report suggests, indicating a much stronger competitive position than may be perceived.
The author claims Nvidia's unit market share is double what a report suggests, indicating a much stronger competitive position than may be perceived.
AI Compute
Long
Feb 24
$607.87
+16.6%
The author dismisses the idea that niche, custom-built apps ("vibe coding") pose a real threat to established SaaS companies, as enterprises primarily buy software to outsource the burden of maintenance.
The author dismisses the idea that niche, custom-built apps ("vibe coding") pose a real threat to established SaaS companies, as enterprises primarily buy software to outsource the burden of maintenance.
Equity Indexes
Short
Aug 08
$13.82
-5.2%
AI killing open web destroys TTD's model
Avoid/short TTD — author's prior bearish thesis on the business has played out, and the structural case has worsened as AI erodes the open web that underpins TTD's programmatic ad model, with management credibility further questioned.
AI Software
Long
May 18
$414.55
+5.7%
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Foundry Equipment
Long
May 18
$1475.67
+13.9%
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Foundry Equipment
Long
May 18
$279.21
+3.3%
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Long semicap equipment as hyperscalers will maintain or increase capex on either memory or compute, driving sustained wafer fab equipment demand.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 19
$439.30
-27.4%
A negative forensic report pressuring the stock is based on flawed data, suggesting the bearish thesis is weak and the market may be overreacting.
A negative forensic report pressuring the stock is based on flawed data, suggesting the bearish thesis is weak and the market may be overreacting.
AI Software
Short
Mar 11
$646.00
-138.9%
The author is expressing skepticism about a bullish forecast for $SNDK's run rate EPS, suggesting via analogy that the expectation is an absurd and unrealistic extrapolation.
The author is expressing skepticism about a bullish forecast for $SNDK's run rate EPS, suggesting via analogy that the expectation is an absurd and unrealistic extrapolation.
AI Memory
Short
Feb 27
$406.37
-35.5%
The semiconductor memory sector is facing a future where supply/demand normalization will cause significant price declines that overwhelm bit growth, leading to severe margin compression.
The semiconductor memory sector is facing a future where supply/demand normalization will cause significant price declines that overwhelm bit growth, leading to severe margin compression.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 26
$184.89
-21.7%
The author questions the math behind NVIDIA's revenue claims, suggesting that the company's reported Blackwell deployment figures may not align with its revenue, implying a potential overstatement in the bull case.
The author questions the math behind NVIDIA's revenue claims, suggesting that the company's reported Blackwell deployment figures may not align with its revenue, implying a potential overstatement in the bull case.
AI Compute
Short
Feb 24
$163.81
-68.1%
The author is sarcastically highlighting that even after a steep price decline, the stock's valuation remains extremely high, implying a bearish view.
The author is sarcastically highlighting that even after a steep price decline, the stock's valuation remains extremely high, implying a bearish view.
Cybersecurity
Short
Feb 20
$258.61
-8.8%
The bull case for Adobe's generative AI is weakened by its insufficient IP indemnification, which exposes the company and its customers to significant legal and financial risk from copyright lawsuits.
The bull case for Adobe's generative AI is weakened by its insufficient IP indemnification, which exposes the company and its customers to significant legal and financial risk from copyright lawsuits.
AI Software
Showing 13 of 13 calls · sorted by mentions

itsDanielWu has 13 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 12 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #1233 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NVDA, QQQ, META.