#1063 Alpha Score 41.8

Gerry Fowler

Chief Strategist, UBS Investment Bank
· tracked since Jan 2026
1063
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Alpha Score 41.8
Calls
5
Win Rate
40.0%
return
+2.7%
Calls 5 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 2
Win Rate 40% Long 4 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 40%
90d 33%
Average Return +2.7% Long Return +5.8% Short Return -9.8%
Average Return
7d +0.8%
30d -1.5%
90d -9.5%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 14
$182.63
+0.3%
De-risking over; lean back into tech.
Technology names in the Nasdaq and AI-related trades in Korea were heavily de-risked into summer, but that de-risking appears over; with single-stock volatility dropping from above 50% to the mid-30s, leverage models now allow funds to add risk, and Fowler expects investors returning from holiday to lean back into the same tech and AI trades.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 14
$732.78
-2.3%
Nasdaq is cheap given unprecedented sales growth.
If the US 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% over the next three months due to massive government deficit issuance and crowding out, it will stall the expected 5-10% rally in the S&P and Nasdaq.
Equity Indexes
Short
Feb 12
$259.54
-9.8%
The market has been rotating into "low quality" and Small Caps, behaving as if the economy is in an "Early Cycle" phase due to expected fiscal boosts. Credit and labor markets indicate we are actually "Late Cycle." The rotation into low-quality/small-cap stocks is a head-fake. In a late-cycle environment with high tariffs and inflation risks, pricing power and high margins matter most. LONG High Quality (specifically Software/Microsoft) and SHORT/FADE the Small Cap rally. If fiscal stimulus actually resets the cycle to "Early," Small Caps will continue to rip.
The market has been rotating into "low quality" and Small Caps, behaving as if the economy is in an "Early Cycle" phase due to expected fiscal boosts. Credit and labor markets indicate we are actually "Late Cycle." The rotation into low-quality/small-cap stocks is a head-fake. In a late-cycle environment with high tariffs and inflation risks, pricing power and high margins matter most. LONG High Quality (specifically Software/Microsoft) and SHORT/FADE the Small Cap rally. If fiscal stimulus actually resets the cycle to "Early," Small Caps will continue to rip.
Equity Indexes
Showing 3 of 5 calls · sorted by mentions

Gerry Fowler has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since January 2026. Ranked #1063 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: QQQ, SAP, ASML.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology