Geiger_Capital 5.0 157 ideas

After 1 day
52%winrate
+0.1% avg
50W / 47L · 97/127 ideas
After 1 week
61%winrate
+1.1% avg
60W / 39L · 99/127 ideas
After 1 month
63%winrate
+4.7% avg
55W / 32L · 87/127 ideas
55 winning  /  32 losing  ·  87 positions (30d)
Net: +4.7%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
BIRD LONG $12.92 Apr 15
BIRD LONG $13.22 Apr 15
BIRD SHORT $6.80 Apr 15
BIRD SHORT $5.23 Apr 15
EWZ LONG $41.76 Apr 14
EWZ LONG $40.91 Apr 10
GXG LONG Apr 09
USO LONG $138.16 Apr 07
USO LONG $139.70 Apr 07
USO LONG $137.92 Apr 05
USO LONG $138.02 Apr 02
USO SHORT $126.71 Apr 01
ITA LONG $210.32 Mar 31
ILF LONG $33.85 Mar 28
ILF LONG $34.19 Mar 27
ITA LONG $224.49 Mar 20
SPY SHORT $647.97 Mar 20
ECH LONG $39.01 Mar 20
USO LONG $118.16 Mar 20
PL LONG $28.61 Mar 19
SPY LONG $662.30 Mar 19
USO LONG $120.87 Mar 19
By sector
ETF
98 ideas +3.6%
Stock
25 ideas +9.3%
Commodity
15 ideas +3.9%
currency
13 ideas +5.4%
Crypto
4 ideas
index
1 ideas
sector
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO 18 ideas
88% W +27.4%
SPY 18 ideas
82% W +2.3%
ITA 13 ideas
25% W -6.5%
TLT 12 ideas
67% W +0.8%
USD 8 ideas
100% W +5.4%
Best and worst calls
The stock of Bird Global has surged an extraordinary 575%, indicating a massive speculative rally in the heavily shorted company.
BIRD Apr 15, 15:15
April 15, 2026 at 15:15
The stock of Allbirds has surged over 500%, indicating a massive speculative rally and potential short squeeze in the retail sector.
BIRD Apr 15, 15:09
April 15, 2026 at 15:09
Short BIRD as its 170% rally driven by abandoning footwear to buy GPUs and rebrand as an AI company is a clear sign of a bubble rather than fundamental value.
BIRD HIGH Apr 15, 13:17
"I’ll take"
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 13:17
Short $BIRD as its +170% surge on a rebrand to "NewBird AI" and GPU purchase is a speculative bubble with no substance, mirroring the unsustainable hype of the DotCom era.
BIRD MED Apr 15, 13:08
"This is straight out of the DotCom bubble."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 13:08
Go long Brazilian equities as the potential election of right-wing Flavio Bolsonaro is expected to shift the economy away from China, ushering in a golden age for Latin America.
EWZ HIGH Apr 14, 16:26
"New 52-week high for $EWZ today… 🚀🇧🇷 The Golden Age of LatAm."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 14, 2026 at 16:26
The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF reaches a new 52-week high, signaling strong investor confidence in the Brazilian market's recent performance.
EWZ Apr 10, 13:32
April 10, 2026 at 13:32
The MSCI Colombia ETF is poised for gains as the country's inclusion in the JPMorgan EM bond index attracts significant foreign capital inflows.
GXG Apr 09, 15:02
April 09, 2026 at 15:02
Long oil (USO) due to a significant supply disruption risk from the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global shipments.
USO HIGH Apr 07, 20:13
"Every day the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed at this point is a disaster."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 20:13
The author implies that diplomatic efforts to avert a Middle East conflict are likely to fail ("last ditch efforts"), which could lead to a supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and a spike in oil prices.
USO HIGH Apr 07, 19:42
"Last ditch efforts before 8pm."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 19:42
Geopolitical tension and implied risk of Strait of Hormuz disruption is a bullish catalyst for oil prices.
USO MED Apr 05, 13:46
"Sounds a lot like a guy who is unable to open the Strait of Hormuz and is lashing out."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 05, 2026 at 13:46
The author implies a bullish stance on oil prices due to escalating geopolitical rhetoric and the risk of conflict involving Iran, which threatens supply.
USO MED Apr 02, 16:30
"You’re bearish? The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament is taking shots at Bill Ackman like a burner account on fintwit, and you’re bearish?"
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 16:30
The author expects the imminent presidential address to signal de-escalation in the Iran conflict, leading to a reduction in the geopolitical risk premium and a drop in oil prices.
USO HIGH Apr 01, 00:25
"This is what should have happened when he started the war with Iran… Hopefully this is to end it."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 01, 2026 at 00:25
The author predicts a specific, limited military escalation with higher US casualty risk, which could drive increased defense spending and positive sentiment for defense contractors.
ITA HIGH Mar 31, 01:59
"It’s not going to be a large invasion Likely to see Maduro-style special ops However, much higher risk of US losses."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 31, 2026 at 01:59
Latin American equities are expected to continue outperforming US markets driven by a regional shift toward pro-market political policies.
ILF HIGH Mar 28, 19:38
"LatAm will continue to outperform the US… The"
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 28, 2026 at 19:38
The author is promoting a bullish view on a specific Latin American stock, framed within a strong, positive regional macro narrative, implying further upside.
ILF MED Mar 27, 16:18
"New stock coming Monday… The Golden Age of Latin America continues."
𝕏 @geiger_capital ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 27, 2026 at 16:18
Geiger_Capital | 157 trade ideas tracked | USO, SPY, ITA, TLT, USD | Twitter | Buzzberg