GarrettBullish 5.0 80 ideas

After 1 day
61%winrate
+0.6% avg
38W / 24L · 62/65 ideas
After 1 week
52%winrate
-0.5% avg
29W / 27L · 56/66 ideas
After 1 month
32%winrate
-13.0% avg
9W / 19L · 28/66 ideas
9 winning  /  19 losing  ·  28 positions (30d)
Net: -13.0%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
USO LONG $124.58 Apr 16
USO LONG $124.57 Apr 12
USO LONG $127.66 Apr 09
USO LONG $123.15 Apr 08
TLT LONG $86.14 Apr 07
USO LONG $142.69 Apr 07
SPY SHORT $658.20 Apr 06
USO LONG $138.20 Apr 06
USO LONG $137.92 Apr 03
USO LONG $138.12 Apr 02
USO LONG $123.36 Apr 02
SPY SHORT $654.75 Apr 02
USO LONG $132.45 Mar 31
SPY SHORT $635.60 Mar 30
USO LONG $124.20 Mar 29
SPY SHORT $651.24 Mar 26
USO LONG $117.61 Mar 26
USO LONG $113.50 Mar 26
BNO LONG $49.70 Mar 24
GLD LONG $413.38 Mar 23
USO LONG $121.43 Mar 23
USO LONG $119.73 Mar 22
USO LONG $119.73 Mar 21
SPY SHORT $653.28 Mar 21
USO LONG $122.44 Mar 19
USO LONG $122.44 Mar 19
USO LONG $122.44 Mar 19
VIX LONG $33.05 Mar 18
UUP SHORT $27.73 Mar 18
USO LONG $121.40 Mar 18
By sector
ETF
49 ideas +2.3%
Crypto
18 ideas -24.1%
Stock
7 ideas -11.7%
Commodity
5 ideas +26.9%
index
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO 24 ideas
67% W +5.6%
BTC 10 ideas
12% W -17.7%
SPY 9 ideas
50% W +0.7%
ETH 8 ideas
14% W -31.3%
SILVER 3 ideas
Best and worst calls
Long oil (via USO) due to a developing physical supply shortage, with geopolitical catalysts in Iran and troop deployments failing to resolve the underlying structural deficit.
USO HIGH Apr 16, 09:46
"The physical oil shortage is already here."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 16, 2026 at 09:46
Fade the recent 15% drop in oil prices, as the market is incorrectly pricing in a lasting ceasefire while physical oil markets remain tight and shipping through Hormuz is still halted.
USO HIGH Apr 12, 13:36
"the market dropped oil 15% on a ceasefire that was violated before the ink dried. zero tankers through hormuz."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 12, 2026 at 13:36
The recent 15% drop in oil prices is a mispricing because the ceasefire has already been violated and physical supply remains severely constrained with zero tankers moving through the Strait of Hormuz.
USO HIGH Apr 09, 10:30
"the market dropped oil 15% on a ceasefire that was violated before the ink dried."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 10:30
The author is long crude oil, arguing that structural supply damage from a conflict outweighs a temporary ceasefire, presenting prices under $100 as a buying opportunity.
USO HIGH Apr 08, 05:08
"sub $100 is a gift."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 08, 2026 at 05:08
The author is taking a long position in long-dated US Treasuries, implying a view that yields will fall or that the long end of the yield curve offers value.
TLT HIGH Apr 07, 17:23
"@Spheniscidae007 longing the back end of the curve"
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term / medium-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 17:23
The author argues a long oil trade due to a structural supply deficit, backwardation, and a short gamma market setup creating explosive upside risk.
USO HIGH Apr 07, 14:55
"oil is on the edge of a triple squeeze."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 14:55
Short the broad market as the user believes the current economic situation will lead to a downturn more severe than the 2008 financial crisis.
SPY HIGH Apr 06, 23:55
"not overdone. it’s gonna be worse than 2008"
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 06, 2026 at 23:55
The author implies the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, creating a supply constraint that supports high oil prices, with Asian spot already at $150.
USO HIGH Apr 06, 15:34
"people saying hormuz is actually open and many boats with oil are passing through without AIS. if you find these boats please kindly introduce them to the asian countries so they don't have to compete for oil at $150, the current asian spot price"
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term to medium-term Source ↗
April 06, 2026 at 15:34
The author implies a long oil position due to the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which will keep prices elevated before the Fed can react.
USO HIGH Apr 03, 11:07
"currently we are still trading Hormuz remain shut, oil up, global economy in danger."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term to medium-term Source ↗
April 03, 2026 at 11:07
Long oil (via USO) because a confirmed geopolitical escalation is irreversible and will drive prices significantly higher as the current world order deteriorates.
USO HIGH Apr 02, 12:51
"oil just hit 110. up 10% in a day. this is just the start of the old regime falling apart."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 12:51
Author recommends selling equity market bounces, anticipating downward pressure from the same geopolitical escalation that is bullish for oil.
SPY HIGH Apr 02, 01:31
"stock bounces are exits."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 01:31
Author advocates buying dips in oil, expecting continued price strength due to geopolitical escalation from the Iran conflict.
USO HIGH Apr 02, 01:31
"oil dips are entries."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 01:31
Geopolitical escalation in the Strait of Hormuz will disrupt crude supply and drive oil prices higher.
USO HIGH Mar 31, 03:53
"Iran just hit a fully laden Kuwait VLCC carrying 2 million barrels of crude. 31 miles from Dubai port."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 31, 2026 at 03:53
The author believes the stock market will decline significantly as geopolitical tensions escalate, with the Fed's policy stance only shifting after a considerable downturn.
SPY HIGH Mar 30, 16:45
"the stock market has a long way to fall on escalation before Powell starts saying 'patient' instead of 'committed to 2%'"
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 16:45
Long oil (USO) due to a supply shock from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which is pushing prices higher amidst a backdrop of fiscal/monetary policy reminiscent of wartime funding.
USO HIGH Mar 29, 11:10
"hormuz closed. oil 120+. 2.5 trillion in bonds gone. fed running the 1942 playbook."
𝕏 @GarrettBullish ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 29, 2026 at 11:10
GarrettBullish | 80 trade ideas tracked | USO, BTC, SPY, ETH, SILVER | Twitter | Buzzberg