#458 Alpha Score 39.2

GarrettBullish

Founder, Garrett Signal
@GarrettBullish · tracked since Dec 2025
458
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 39.2
Calls 5 333 Posts tracked · 2.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 5
Best Calls
USO long +29.7%
Worst Calls
TLT long -3.6%
FXI long -2.1%
ITA long -2.0%
Most Mentioned
BNO ×14
FXI ×3
TLT ×2
Recent Calls
GLD long 2 months ago
ITA long 2 months ago
FXI long 2 months ago
Win Rate 20% Long 5 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 80%
90d 25%
Average Return +4.1% Long Return +4.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.3%
30d +6.5%
90d -7.0%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 08
$108.77
+29.7%
A potential Hormuz disruption represents a 15% supply gap, far larger than historical gaps that caused massive oil price spikes, and consensus is unprepared for a prolonged event.
A potential Hormuz disruption represents a 15% supply gap, far larger than historical gaps that caused massive oil price spikes, and consensus is unprepared for a prolonged event.
Energy
Long
Mar 13
$36.20
-2.1%
The consensus view that high oil prices will cripple China is wrong, as the country has significant strategic reserves, low energy grid dependency on oil, and high EV penetration, making its equities undervalued on this fear.
The consensus view that high oil prices will cripple China is wrong, as the country has significant strategic reserves, low energy grid dependency on oil, and high EV penetration, making its equities undervalued on this fear.
Macro
Long
Mar 06
$88.46
-3.6%
A long position in US Treasuries (TLT) is justified by the expected surge in demand from stablecoin issuers as adoption grows, particularly from new use cases like AI agents.
A long position in US Treasuries (TLT) is justified by the expected surge in demand from stablecoin issuers as adoption grows, particularly from new use cases like AI agents.
Macro
Long
Mar 23
$413.38
-1.4%
Gold is expected to see massive upside toward $4,000, driven by ongoing geopolitical escalation and energy shocks in the Middle East.
Gold is expected to see massive upside toward $4,000, driven by ongoing geopolitical escalation and energy shocks in the Middle East.
Macro
Long
Mar 14
$229.37
-2.0%
The trade is to go long the defense sector, as the author's interpretation of recent events suggests a significant escalation in global geopolitical conflict across multiple regions, likely leading to increased military activity and spending.
The trade is to go long the defense sector, as the author's interpretation of recent events suggests a significant escalation in global geopolitical conflict across multiple regions, likely leading to increased military activity and spending.
NatSec
Showing 5 of 5 picks · sorted by mentions