Davide Scigliuzzo 2.5 5 ideas

The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.