#1602 Alpha Score 12.3

Davide Scigliuzzo

Reporter at Bloomberg
@dscigliuzzo · tracked since Jan 2026
1602
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Alpha Score 12.3
Calls
5
Win Rate
20.0%
return
-12.5%
Calls 5 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 20% Long 0 Short 5
Win Rate
7d 60%
30d 60%
90d 20%
Average Return -12.5% Long Return - Short Return -12.5%
Average Return
7d +1.4%
30d +3.4%
90d -14.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Feb 28
$104.60
-22.7%
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
Capital Markets
Short
Feb 28
$87.68
-12.0%
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
Capital Markets
Short
Feb 28
$10.55
+5.2%
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
The KBW Bank Index dropped over 5%, with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) getting "torched." Reports of "credit cockroaches" in Private Credit are surfacing, with firms like Apollo (APO) cutting dividends and Blue Owl (OWL) facing selloffs. The market assumed Private Credit risk was isolated from the banking system. However, banks finance these private lenders on the back end. As write-downs and redemptions hit Private Credit, the contagion risk transfers back to the major banks providing the leverage. SHORT Financials and Asset Managers exposed to the "shadow banking" stress. If the Fed cuts rates aggressively or the credit stress proves to be idiosyncratic rather than systemic.
Capital Markets
Showing 3 of 5 calls · sorted by mentions

Davide Scigliuzzo has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since January 2026. Ranked #1602 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GS, MS, KKR.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology