#682 Alpha Score 14.9

Dan Tannenbaum

Partner, Oliver Wyman
@dantannNYC · tracked since Feb 2026
682
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 14.9
Calls 6 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
FCN long +1.9%
Worst Calls
RNMBY long -32.2%
ACN long -13.3%
BAESY long -11.7%
Most Mentioned
ITA ×2
RNMBY ×1
ACN ×1
Recent Calls
FCN long 3 months ago
ACN long 3 months ago
MMC long 3 months ago
Win Rate 17% Long 6 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 83%
30d 33%
90d 0%
Average Return -11.1% Long Return -11.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +2.0%
30d -3.9%
90d -10.3%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 24
$243.11
-7.5%
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
NatSec
Long
Feb 24
$196.73
-13.3%
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Other
Long
Feb 24
$117.60
-11.7%
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
NatSec
Long
Feb 24
$156.70
+1.9%
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Other
Long
Feb 24
$148.80
-3.6%
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Tannenbaum highlights that "We're beginning to see prosecutions in Germany, in the Netherlands, for companies, for people that flaunt the sanctions." He emphasizes that "economic policy... needs actual enforcement." As enforcement shifts from policy announcements to criminal prosecutions, multinational corporations face heightened compliance risks. This drives demand for high-level regulatory consulting, forensic accounting, and risk advisory services. Oliver Wyman (owned by Marsh & McLennan - MMC) and competitors (Accenture, FTI Consulting) benefit from this complex regulatory environment. LONG Global Consulting/Advisory firms specializing in risk and compliance. Deregulation trends in the US reducing the overall global compliance burden.
Other
Long
Feb 24
$406.83
-32.2%
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
Tannenbaum states, "Russia will always fight an exhaustive war... recruiting roughly 40,000 new troops a month... their push towards exhausting the Ukrainians is still the strategy." He also notes, "I think we probably will be talking about this in a year." The base case is not a near-term peace deal, but a prolonged war of attrition. This necessitates sustained demand for munitions, drones, and defense systems. Furthermore, Tannenbaum notes Europe is "taking strides... to fill in the gap left by President Trump," implying increased European defense spending (benefiting Rheinmetall and BAE Systems) to compensate for US diplomatic withdrawal. LONG Defense Prime Contractors and European Defense stocks as the conflict duration extends. A sudden, forced peace deal by the Trump administration that freezes lines of contact and reduces material support.
NatSec
Showing 6 of 6 picks · sorted by mentions

Dan Tannenbaum has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #682 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ITA, RNMBY, ACN.