Brent 1.0 43 ideas

Investment Analyst
After 1 day
46%winrate
-0.5% avg
13W / 15L · 28/34 ideas
After 1 week
59%winrate
-0.2% avg
17W / 12L · 29/34 ideas
After 1 month
59%winrate
+0.3% avg
17W / 12L · 29/34 ideas
17 winning  /  12 losing  ·  29 positions (30d)
Net: +0.3%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
UUP SHORT $27.68 Mar 20
SNDK SHORT $714.14 Mar 20
By sector
ETF
10 ideas -3.8%
Stock
10 ideas -1.6%
Commodity
7 ideas +8.3%
Crypto
6 ideas +2.6%
currency
5 ideas +3.4%
sector
4 ideas
index
1 ideas -14.7%
Top tickers (by frequency)
WTI 4 ideas
33% W -14.8%
USO 4 ideas
50% W -2.3%
USDJPY 3 ideas
SILVER 3 ideas
100% W +42.9%
JPY 2 ideas
100% W +8.3%
Best and worst calls
The consensus has shifted to expecting an escalating conflict with no offramps, making the risk/reward for holding equity shorts into the weekend unattractive.
SPY HIGH Mar 27, 14:53
"I just squared all equity shorts."
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 27, 2026 at 14:53
Investment Analyst
The US Dollar's long-term dominance is being undermined by expanding fiscal deficits and the perception that US Treasuries are no longer a true safe haven.
UUP MED Mar 20, 16:44
"[The war is] eroding the institutional foundations that support its long-term dominance."
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 16:44
The author expects SNDK to be "super bearish" if it breaks below the 700 level, which represents a technical breakdown, compounded by macro headwinds from tightening financial conditions.
SNDK MED Mar 20, 15:08
"Below 700 is break of 100hour and cloud and super bearish IMO"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 15:08
The current price is an attractive entry point for a long position in crude oil, with a defined target range of $83-92 and a clear invalidation level below $75.
USO HIGH Mar 10, 16:05
"If you are bullish crude on reescalation, this is the buy zone .. Equilibrium in CL1 should be 83/92"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 10, 2026 at 16:05
No it’s more that dollar has already rallied and most important economic data point of the month was mega weak. Four yards of usd is significant though. Most volume is noise trading so billions in one direction moves the market especially after a big move the other way has just happened
USD Mar 08, 13:49
March 08, 2026 at 13:49
Small correction lower after large dollar rally — on weak US payrolls and BHP dividend day (a day when yards of dollars being sold without regard to price) — is hardly a meaningful regime change imo Dollar higher on the week —why look at single day return on the day of a weak jobs report ?
USD Mar 07, 17:50
March 07, 2026 at 17:50
The author believes the recent US Dollar weakness is a temporary correction caused by transient factors (payrolls, dividend flows) and that the broader uptrend will resume.
UUP HIGH Mar 07, 17:50
"Small correction lower after large dollar rally — on weak US payrolls and BHP dividend day (a day when yards of dollars being sold without regard to price) — is hardly a meaningful regime change imo"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 07, 2026 at 17:50
@robin_j_brooks Small correction after large dollar rally — on BHP dividend (a day when yards of dollars being sold without regard to price) — is hardly a meaningful regime change imo Dollar higher on the week why look at single day return
BHP Mar 07, 17:48
March 07, 2026 at 17:48
@MBjegovic @PboisImmo Cuz oil went back down ofc 💀🤣
WTI Mar 06, 23:40
March 06, 2026 at 23:40
The market will ignore the preceding news/event, leading to a rally in equities.
SPY MED Mar 06, 18:04
"[...] ok but market won't care .. oil will drop and stocks will rally"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 06, 2026 at 18:04
The market will ignore the preceding news/event, leading to a drop in oil prices.
USO MED Mar 06, 18:04
"[...] ok but market won't care .. oil will drop and stocks will rally"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 06, 2026 at 18:04
@tonitrades_ The study started in 1997 and has been working out of sample for 10 years. Some of the best calls have been oil. Drowning in oil the most famous at the exact low https://t.co/S1gmyrV2nl
WTI Mar 06, 16:55
March 06, 2026 at 16:55
USDJPY technical analysis, update https://t.co/bgn9MlLcF9
USDJPY Mar 06, 15:47
March 06, 2026 at 15:47
USDJPY technical analysis, update https://t.co/8ZXwtc5dMV
USDJPY Mar 06, 15:47
March 06, 2026 at 15:47
The author outlines a path for the stock to potentially rise to 120 in the short-term before ultimately falling to a target of 70 by August.
GME MED Mar 05, 19:17
"...this is 6-month time horizon so you might see 120 first then 70 in august"
𝕏 @donnelly_brent ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 05, 2026 at 19:17
Brent (Investment Analyst) | 43 trade ideas tracked | WTI, USO, USDJPY, SILVER, JPY | Twitter, YouTube | Buzzberg