#292 Alpha Score 77.5

Bill Ackman

CEO, Pershing Square Capital (Quoted via X/Twitter)
@BillAckman · tracked since Feb 2026
292
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Alpha Score 77.5
Calls
21
Win Rate
65.0%
return
+2.5%
Calls 21 799 Posts tracked · 4.3/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 6
90d 6
Best Calls
USO Long +72.2%
PS Long +40.8%
MSFT Long +22.9%
Worst Calls
USO Short -72.2%
UMG.AS Long -27.0%
PSUS Long -21.9%
Most Mentioned
MSFT ×8
PSUS ×7
FNMA ×5
Recent Calls
SPGI Long 3 weeks ago
ALC Long 3 weeks ago
ICE Long 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 65% Long 20 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 71%
30d 40%
90d 53%
Average Return +2.5% Long Return +6.4% Short Return -72.2%
Average Return
7d +3.7%
30d +6.3%
90d +1.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 15
$405.50
+22.9%
Buy MSFT at 21x forward earnings; concerns over M365/Azure are overblown given embedded enterprise dominance, OpenAI stake valued at ~$200B, and Azure's 39% revenue growth with accelerating capex.
Buy MSFT at 21x forward earnings; concerns over M365/Azure are overblown given embedded enterprise dominance, OpenAI stake valued at ~$200B, and Azure's 39% revenue growth with accelerating capex.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 29
$50.00
-21.9%
PSUS is a superior closed-end fund.
Pershing Square USA (PSUS) is a unique closed-end fund that differs fundamentally from typical closed-end funds in terms of governance, scale, strategy, and performance. It has generated a 25% annual return versus the average 7% for equity closed-end funds. The oversubscribed IPO, combined with a gift of management company shares (Pershing Square Inc.) for every five shares purchased, makes it an attractive long-term investment and structurally less likely to trade at a discount.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 12
$6.01
+0.7%
Ackman endorses thesis: bailout repaid, structured conservatorship exit; intrinsic value could re-rate to $35+ (5x current) once recapitalized.
Ackman endorses thesis: bailout repaid, structured conservatorship exit; intrinsic value could re-rate to $35+ (5x current) once recapitalized.
Real Estate Finance
Long
May 15
$390.41
-14.2%
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Hyperscalers
Long
Mar 22
$4.88
+10.7%
Freddie Mac shareholder thesis: SPS more than repaid; respecting contractual terms unlocks value vs. dilutive SPS conversion.
Freddie Mac shareholder thesis: SPS more than repaid; respecting contractual terms unlocks value vs. dilutive SPS conversion.
Real Estate Finance
Long
May 15
$263.92
-3.1%
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 29
$669.82
-11.1%
Cheap high quality stocks to add
Uber and Meta are among the best businesses in the world trading at historically low multiples. Pershing Square plans to add to existing positions, taking advantage of these cheap prices to increase ownership. The go-forward projected IRR is in the mid-twenties, indicating a very high rate of return for high-quality companies.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 30
$25.46
+40.8%
Ackman bought 800K shares of PS in open market — sold a 10% interest at $26.25 two years ago.
Ackman bought 800K shares of PS in open market — sold a 10% interest at $26.25 two years ago.
Capital Markets
Long
Apr 29
$62.65
+0.9%
Building a modern Berkshire Hathaway
Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) is being built into a modern-day Berkshire Hathaway-like diversified holding company. Pershing Square has taken a significant stake and management role, and has signed a deal to acquire an insurance subsidiary (Vantage Holdings) to deploy permanent capital. This structure allows long-term compounding similar to Buffett's model.
Real Estate Development
Long
Apr 08
$19.68
-27.0%
UMG bull case: AI music has not gained share despite uploads surging; UMG growing via emerging markets, artist-centric deals demonetizing noise, wholesale price hikes, Virgin Music/Downtown.
UMG bull case: AI music has not gained share despite uploads surging; UMG growing via emerging markets, artist-centric deals demonetizing noise, wholesale price hikes, Virgin Music/Downtown.
Gaming & Entertainment
Long
Mar 30
$634.09
+20.6%
The author is advocating buying high-quality U.S. equities due to cheap valuations and the expectation of a geopolitical resolution leading to a peace dividend.
The author is advocating buying high-quality U.S. equities due to cheap valuations and the expectation of a geopolitical resolution leading to a peace dividend.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 13
$74.25
-2.7%
Ackman's Pershing Square opens new Alcon long
Pershing Square initiates a new long position in Alcon as part of its Q2 portfolio update; high-profile institutional buying signals fundamental conviction in the ophthalmology/medical device company.
MedTech
Long
Aug 13
$152.50
+3.5%
Ackman's Pershing Square initiates ICE long position
Pershing Square discloses a new long position in Intercontinental Exchange as part of its Q2 portfolio update; institutional initiation by a high-profile value investor signals fundamental conviction in the financial infrastructure operator.
Capital Markets
Long
Aug 13
$560.00
+5.0%
Ackman's Pershing Square opens new Mastercard long
Pershing Square initiates a new long position in Mastercard as part of its Q2 portfolio update, alongside Visa, suggesting a paired bet on global payments network duopoly.
Payments & Fintech
Long
Aug 13
$75.06
+9.8%
Ackman's Pershing Square initiates new Netflix long
Pershing Square discloses a new long position in Netflix as part of its Q2 portfolio update; Ackman's fund has initiated the stake, signaling high-conviction fundamental bullishness from a major activist/value investor.
Streaming
Showing 15 of 21 calls · sorted by mentions

Bill Ackman has 21 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 20 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 65% across 20 evaluated calls, average return +2.5%. Ranked #292 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MSFT, PSUS, FNMA.