#83
Alpha Score 89.0
Bill Ackman
CEO, Pershing Square Capital (Quoted via X/Twitter)
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 15
$405.50
+8.8%
Buy MSFT at 21x forward earnings; concerns over M365/Azure are overblown given embedded enterprise dominance, OpenAI stake valued at ~$200B, and Azure's 39% revenue growth with accelerating capex.
Buy MSFT at 21x forward earnings; concerns over M365/Azure are overblown given embedded enterprise dominance, OpenAI stake valued at ~$200B, and Azure's 39% revenue growth with accelerating capex.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 29
$50.00
-22.2%
Pershing Square USA (PSUS) is a unique closed-end fund that differs fundamentally from typical closed-end funds in terms of governance, scale, strategy, and performance. It has generated a 25% annual return versus the average 7% for equity closed-end funds. The oversubscribed IPO, combined with a gift of management company shares (Pershing Square Inc.) for every five shares purchased, makes it an attractive long-term investment and structurally less likely to trade at a discount.
Fintech
Long
Mar 12
$6.01
+23.5%
Ackman endorses thesis: bailout repaid, structured conservatorship exit; intrinsic value could re-rate to $35+ (5x current) once recapitalized.
Ackman endorses thesis: bailout repaid, structured conservatorship exit; intrinsic value could re-rate to $35+ (5x current) once recapitalized.
Fintech
Long
May 15
$390.41
-8.2%
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
AI/Semi
Long
Mar 22
$4.88
+32.6%
Freddie Mac shareholder thesis: SPS more than repaid; respecting contractual terms unlocks value vs. dilutive SPS conversion.
Freddie Mac shareholder thesis: SPS more than repaid; respecting contractual terms unlocks value vs. dilutive SPS conversion.
Fintech
Long
Apr 30
$25.46
+42.1%
Ackman bought 800K shares of PS in open market — sold a 10% interest at $26.25 two years ago.
Fintech
Long
Apr 29
$669.82
-10.8%
Uber and Meta are among the best businesses in the world trading at historically low multiples. Pershing Square plans to add to existing positions, taking advantage of these cheap prices to increase ownership. The go-forward projected IRR is in the mid-twenties, indicating a very high rate of return for high-quality companies.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 08
$19.68
-0.8%
UMG bull case: AI music has not gained share despite uploads surging; UMG growing via emerging markets, artist-centric deals demonetizing noise, wholesale price hikes, Virgin Music/Downtown.
UMG bull case: AI music has not gained share despite uploads surging; UMG growing via emerging markets, artist-centric deals demonetizing noise, wholesale price hikes, Virgin Music/Downtown.
Consumer
Long
Mar 30
$634.09
+19.7%
The author is advocating buying high-quality U.S. equities due to cheap valuations and the expectation of a geopolitical resolution leading to a peace dividend.
The author is advocating buying high-quality U.S. equities due to cheap valuations and the expectation of a geopolitical resolution leading to a peace dividend.
Macro
Long
May 15
$263.92
-2.8%
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Bill Ackman details his firm's long positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft, arguing that recent share price declines offer attractive entry points for dominant long-term compounding franchises.
Consumer
Long
May 04
$21.23
-
Universal Music Group is undervalued due to its European listing in Amsterdam, loss of shareholder confidence, and underutilized assets like its Spotify stake. A move to a U.S. listing, a more aggressive buyback program, and a refreshed board would unlock significant value. Ackman's proposed transaction includes canceling 17% of outstanding shares, migrating the listing, and improving shareholder communication.
Consumer
Long
Apr 29
$62.65
+0.8%
Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) is being built into a modern-day Berkshire Hathaway-like diversified holding company. Pershing Square has taken a significant stake and management role, and has signed a deal to acquire an insurance subsidiary (Vantage Holdings) to deploy permanent capital. This structure allows long-term compounding similar to Buffett's model.
Other
Long
Apr 29
$73.60
-2.7%
Uber and Meta are among the best businesses in the world trading at historically low multiples. Pershing Square plans to add to existing positions, taking advantage of these cheap prices to increase ownership. The go-forward projected IRR is in the mid-twenties, indicating a very high rate of return for high-quality companies.
Consumer
Short
Feb 28
$81.95
-67.3%
The author believes the current military conflict will be contained and targeted, suggesting the market's geopolitical risk premium (e.g., in oil) is likely overstated.
The author believes the current military conflict will be contained and targeted, suggesting the market's geopolitical risk premium (e.g., in oil) is likely overstated.
Energy
Long
Feb 28
$81.95
+67.3%
Any potential drop in oil prices from news of an Iranian nuclear deal should be faded, as the agreement is unreliable and the geopolitical risk premium will return.
Any potential drop in oil prices from news of an Iranian nuclear deal should be faded, as the agreement is unreliable and the geopolitical risk premium will return.
Energy
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