Bitcoin has already done most of its correction and trades at the lowest 10% of historic valuations according to metrics like MVRV. It recently showed resilience by recovering weekend losses while the NASDAQ plunged, indicating the market recognizes its value relative to overvalued semiconductors and AI stocks. ETP flows are likely to reverse in the coming weeks, providing a catalyst.
The AI bubble is extreme with semiconductor valuations at or above all-time highs, and the new hawkish Fed stance under Trump's appointed chair creates tightening financial conditions that will be a headwind for AI stocks, potentially causing a correction.