#895 Alpha Score 14.4

Alex Sacerdote

Founder and Portfolio Manager, Whale Rock Capital Management
· tracked since Jun 2026
895
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Alpha Score 14.4
Calls
10
Win Rate
20.0%
return
-10.2%
Calls 10 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 10
Best Calls
AAPL Long +12.3%
IGV Short +4.4%
Worst Calls
2308.TW Long -27.6%
GLW Long -26.7%
TSLA Long -25.2%
Most Mentioned
AMZN ×1
IGV ×1
AAPL ×1
Recent Calls
IGV Short 1 month ago
AEIS Long 1 month ago
2308.TW Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 20% Long 9 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 40%
90d
Average Return -10.2% Long Return -11.8% Short Return +4.4%
Average Return
7d -0.1%
30d -3.1%
90d
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 09
$2425.00
-27.6%
Delta and Advanced Energy gain from AI power needs.
Delta Electronics and Advanced Energy supply power supplies for AI servers. Each new Nvidia chip/rack uses 50-125% more power, driving ASPs up 40% per year for the next four years with higher margins. This is a clear beneficiary of the AI infrastructure buildout where demand outstrips supply.
Grid Equipment
Long
Jun 09
$299.64
+12.3%
Apple at 4x earnings during smartphone inflection.
Apple was bought at 4x earnings because the smartphone S-curve was inflecting – Jobs brought iPhone to $200, AT&T had 3G, touchscreen made it easy. Exponential unit growth and a powerful ecosystem (app store, switching costs) led to enormous earnings growth that the market didn't anticipate.
AI Hardware
Long
Jun 09
$306.11
-4.6%
Delta and Advanced Energy gain from AI power needs.
Delta Electronics and Advanced Energy supply power supplies for AI servers. Each new Nvidia chip/rack uses 50-125% more power, driving ASPs up 40% per year for the next four years with higher margins. This is a clear beneficiary of the AI infrastructure buildout where demand outstrips supply.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jun 09
$244.61
-5.4%
Amazon AWS had underappreciated earnings power.
Amazon was bought for AWS at a time when it was effectively free – the market was valuing it as a retail company while AWS had massive underappreciated earnings power as a cloud platform with a 7-year lead, scale advantages, and a huge TAM. The S-curve for cloud was just getting started.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jun 09
$395.00
-12.8%
Celestica is critical AI infrastructure with advantages.
Celestica has transformed from a commoditized contract manufacturer to a critical AI infrastructure supplier – sole supplier of Google TPU servers, dominant in liquid cooling, and has 50-60% share of cloud Ethernet switch market. AI servers are 40x more expensive than old servers and require constant innovation, making Celestica a high-growth, high-margin business with rising competitive advantages.
AI Hardware
Long
Jun 09
$193.86
-26.7%
Corning benefits from AI fiber demand.
Corning is the dominant fiber supplier for data centers, with a very high share and a product that is thinner, more bendable, and custom-manufactured. AI needs massive fiber (e.g., one Microsoft data center uses enough to circle Earth 4.5x). Future scale-up connections (copper to fiber) will 2-3x Corning's opportunity. Its fiber business is the fastest-growing, highest-margin part of the company.
AI Photonics
Long
Jun 09
$363.87
-10.1%
Google is a top AI winner.
Google is one of our largest positions. It has a strong consumer franchise with Gemini, a huge cash cow to fund AI, and is one of three likely winners in the foundational model oligopoly. Google's enterprise strength and ability to compete in coding make it a key AI bet.
Hyperscalers
Short
Jun 09
$95.43
+4.4%
Short application software incumbents.
We sold almost all application software and were net short entering 2025. The thesis is that AI is disrupting the old software model: AI products from incumbents are not good, CIO budgets are shifting to AI tokens, pricing power is eroding, seats are decreasing, and new AI-native startups could wipe out incumbents. The valuations are high and the AI exposure of most software companies is tiny (1-2% of sales).
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 09
$209.23
-6.1%
Nvidia at 4x earnings was deeply undervalued.
Nvidia was bought at 4x earnings in 2023 because the AI S-curve is just beginning, with the infrastructure layer only 10% penetrated. The demand for compute is exploding, and Nvidia is the dominant chip supplier with massive earnings power not yet appreciated by the market.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 09
$412.00
-25.2%
Tesla bought at 5x earnings in 2019.
Tesla was bought in 2019 at 5x earnings because the electric vehicle S-curve was just inflecting – barriers to adoption (price, range, supply chain) had been removed, leading to exponential unit growth. The underappreciated earnings power at that point was enormous.
Autos & EV
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Alex Sacerdote has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since June 2026. Ranked #895 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AMZN, IGV, AAPL.