Alex Altman 5.0 2 ideas

Despite the market looking past near-term geopolitical risks, there are still physical supply issues, making the broader commodity theme attractive as countries and companies build stockpiles in an 'every man for himself' environment.

Altman expects base metals like copper to be the real commodity driver moving forward, at the expense of energy. As the extreme risk premium in energy subsides following the ceasefire, capital will rotate out of the crowded energy hedge trade and into base metals, which are essential for global production and industrial demand. LONG because copper is positioned to absorb the capital rotating out of energy while benefiting from structural global demand. A collapse in global manufacturing demand or a severe geopolitical escalation that forces capital back exclusively into energy as a panic hedge.