Aditya Suresh

Macquarie is "positive on the financials" specifically "large cap private banks." They expect foreign flows (which were net sellers of $20B) to return to India in the next 2-6 months. Indian private banks have corrected due to foreign outflows and currency weakness. As the valuation reset stabilizes and foreign capital rotates back in (seeking growth outside of China's slowing economy), large-cap banks with clean balance sheets are the first recipients of those inflows. Long Indian Private Banks (HDB/IBN) as a contrarian play on returning foreign liquidity. Sustained oil price spikes (India is a net importer) could further crush the Rupee and delay foreign inflows.

Macquarie is "positive on the financials" specifically "large cap private banks." They expect foreign flows (which were net sellers of $20B) to return to India in the next 2-6 months. Indian private banks have corrected due to foreign outflows and currency weakness. As the valuation reset stabilizes and foreign capital rotates back in (seeking growth outside of China's slowing economy), large-cap banks with clean balance sheets are the first recipients of those inflows. Long Indian Private Banks (HDB/IBN) as a contrarian play on returning foreign liquidity. Sustained oil price spikes (India is a net importer) could further crush the Rupee and delay foreign inflows.