MEP — Top 100 Polymarket Trader (1 trade idea)

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Date Ticker Direction Thesis Source
Feb 13, 2026 NEUTRAL MEP notes that Trump's tweets (e.g., instructing to "keep negotiating") are direct signals for de-escalation, leading MEP to bet "No" on imminent war in the Middle East. The market often overprices war risk based on mainstream media; tracking specific leadership comms (Trump) provides an edge to fade war FUD. NEUTRAL/SHORT VOLATILITY on war-linked assets (like Oil/Defense) when Trump signals negotiation. Insider trading by state actors (e.g., Iran/Israel) manipulating prediction market odds to deceive enemies. Thread Guy
The Bear Market is OVER. Stocks are about to ...