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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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President Trump is threatening "Phase Two" against Iran and deploying a second carrier strike group, which provides "additional firepower that could be used to strike Iran." The administration is moving assets for potential kinetic conflict, not just deterrence. This increases the probability of supply shocks (Oil) and continued government spending on munitions/defense readiness (Defense Contractors). LONG. Standard geopolitical hedge. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or de-escalation deal with Iran. |
Bloomberg Markets
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