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Feb 16, 2026
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SHORT
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A top-performing fund manager believes application software faces an "existential threat" from AI, suggesting a bearish outlook for the sector. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
“We think application software faces an exist...
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Feb 06, 2026
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SHORT
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Reduced new vehicle subsidies in China, combined with collapsed construction demand, will lead to lower copper demand going forward. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
This obviously has consequences for copper de...
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Feb 06, 2026
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SHORT
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The IPO of the merged SpaceX/xAI in Q2 is hypothesized to saturate demand for speculative tech, leading to a burst in the tech bubble. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
Hypothesis: once the newly merged SpaceX / xA...
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Feb 05, 2026
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SHORT
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A significant black-market glut of over 100 million barrels of oil, held in storage and tankers, suggests an oversupply that could depress oil prices. |
Twitter - @lukegromen
Perhaps most important chart in macro right n...
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Jan 30, 2026
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LONG
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A predicted significant temperature drop in Northwest Europe could lead to critically tight natural gas storage levels by the end of February, suggesting upward pressure on prices. |
Twitter - @krugermacro
Bitcoin took 6 weeks to go from 120 to 80
Si...
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Jan 29, 2026
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SHORT
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The geopolitical premium in Brent crude oil is unsustainable and will reverse sharply to the downside, as it's unwise to long geopolitical risk in a structural bear market for oil. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
This $10-15 per barrel Iran premium of Brent,...
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Jan 27, 2026
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SHORT
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The market is reacting to a weaker dollar (DXY down), which is driving gold prices higher, a trend expected to continue. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
Dollar down - Gold up
Trump just said the US...
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Jan 24, 2026
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SHORT
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Investors are "quiet quitting" US bonds, implying a bearish outlook and potential for bond prices to fall. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
How the U.S. Crackdown Is Strangling Venezuel...
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Jan 23, 2026
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LONG
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An "anti-Trump reflex" is causing a market rotation, which is expected to drive gold and other assets higher. |
Twitter - @burggrabenh
Brutal verdict.
But the progressive left wi...
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