Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-
Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
29 eval.
-0.8%
L -2.8%
S +1.4%
Win rate
62%
30 days
25 eval.
-2.8%
L +6.1%
S -12.4%
Win rate
52%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Computed from the first opened position per ticker/side.
180d ready when data exists
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Long
Crypto
$21.87
-
Long BMNR as the outperforming leg of a pair arb that has been the speaker’s top performer; despite rising borrow costs threatening the trade, the fundamental divergence favors BMNR.
May 04
Long
Other
$0.34
-
Buy MXNU.si for its low valuation relative to distributable income, government tenant base with inflation-linked leases, long 7-year WALE, and significant insider ownership providing downside protection.
Apr 24
Short
Fintech
$323.49
-
Short the basket of Australian equities as macro headwinds (low productivity, high inflation, rate hikes, fuel shortages) pressure an already overvalued market.
Apr 24
Short
Other
$25.94
-
Short the airline sector ETF JETS because persistently high fuel costs from the closed Strait of Hormuz will further compress already weak profit margins.
Apr 22
Long
Other
$9.81
-
Buy NMAX due to a targeted short squeeze by retail traders, which could force rapid covering and drive the price higher in the near term.
Apr 22
Long
Macro
$647.49
-
Buy QQQ because large-cap tech is a primary beneficiary of AI investment and is relatively insulated from the negative impacts of rising oil prices and economic slowdown, unlike smaller international stocks.
Apr 22
Short
Consumer
$23.63
-
Short DraftKings as the rapid growth of prediction markets poses a significant competitive threat to traditional sports betting platforms.
Apr 16
Long
Consumer
$249.25
-
Go long Amazon as AWS maintains market dominance and the broader company benefits from AI and robotics integration, offering superior operating reliability and better AI capex returns compared to mega-cap peers.
Apr 15
Long
Other
$32.85
-
The author is buying the dip on high-quality REITs like REXR while shorting WELL due to sector headwinds.
Apr 01
Short
Other
$198.86
-
The author is buying the dip on high-quality REITs like REXR while shorting WELL due to sector headwinds.
Apr 01
Long
Healthcare
$219.94
-
Steris is a strong candidate for growth due to its recurring service-based revenue model and recent price pullback.
Apr 01
Short
Macro
$67.38
-
The author recommends a long US position while shorting emerging markets and European small-cap ETFs.
Mar 31
Short
Macro
$31.77
-
The author recommends a long US position while shorting emerging markets and European small-cap ETFs.
Mar 31
Long
Fintech
$302.30
-
The author is seeking to accumulate high-quality, resilient stocks to hedge against AI disruption and economic volatility.
Mar 31
Showing 15 of 33 picks
Ticker posts
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