Best trades
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Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-
Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
7 eval.
-1.6%
L -1.6%
S -
Win rate
43%
30 days
5 eval.
+0.0%
L +0.0%
S -
Win rate
60%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Computed from the first opened position per ticker/side.
180d ready when data exists
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Long
AI/Semi
$399.60
-
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Feb 18
Long
AI/Semi
$107.81
-
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Feb 18
Long
AI/Semi
$176.08
-
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Feb 18
Long
AI/Semi
$121.78
-
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Feb 18
Long
AI/Semi
$187.79
-
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Feb 18
Showing 9 of 9 picks
Ticker posts
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