Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-
Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
6 eval.
+11.4%
L +5.3%
S +23.6%
Win rate
50%
30 days
2 eval.
+41.4%
L +4.4%
S +78.5%
Win rate
100%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Closed-window returns from the first opened position per ticker/side.
90d = picks opened 90+ days ago
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Long
Consumer
$225.50
+20.3%
Amazon is poised for a major re-rating toward a $300 price target as the market stops punishing its capex cycle and closes its valuation discount relative to Walmart.
Apr 09
Long
Photonics
$15.77
-23.7%
INFQ is significantly undervalued relative to peers, trading at a steep discount despite being
Apr 16
Long
Fintech
$11.27
+9.7%
Buy CEPT as the leading tokenization partner signing marquee deals, with Milken Conference as near-term catalyst and asymmetric upside if the market reprices the stock.
Apr 29
Long
Photonics
$10.47
+25.6%
Buy Nokia based on valuation comps supporting a $20 price target; market has overlooked this amid the AI data center trade, offering a mispricing opportunity.
Apr 24
Short
Photonics
$128.42
-39.4%
The recent $3.5B market cap expansion driven by a random press release is unjustified euphoria, and the stock is expected to fully retrace its pump back to $85.
Apr 10
Short
Other
$395.00
+69.2%
Citron Research claims VCX is massively overvalued and highlights a history of SEC regulatory violations.
Mar 26
Showing 7 of 7 picks · sorted by mentions
Ticker posts
Choose a mentions count to open ticker posts.