Best trades
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Worst trades
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Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
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Median
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Top 10%
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Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
2 eval.
-3.6%
L -
S -3.6%
Win rate
0%
30 days
2 eval.
-9.8%
L -
S -9.8%
Win rate
0%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Computed from the first opened position per ticker/side.
180d ready when data exists
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Short
Consumer
$21.76
-
DraftKings is down nearly 15% in pre-market. The company explicitly cited competition from "prediction markets" eating into their market share and margins. Short traditional sports betting as liquidity migrates to prediction market platforms. Regulatory crackdowns on prediction markets could send users back to traditional platforms.
Feb 13
Short
Photonics
$75.00
-
Stock down ~8% pre-market. "Margins are really hurt by this crunch... unprecedented crunch in memory chips." Cisco is on the wrong side of the hardware inflation trade. They are a buyer of expensive components, and while sales are okay, profitability is being squeezed by input costs they cannot fully pass on immediately. Short/Avoid on margin compression. Company successfully passes costs to customers faster than expected.
Feb 12
Showing 4 of 4 picks
Ticker posts
Choose a mentions count to open ticker posts.